Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2006

I will take the "dude" as a compliment.

Your emal address is "Addressee unknown",
got a bounce back.

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The original message was received at Thu, 21 Sep 2006 23:44:34 +0200
from localhost.localdomain [127.0.0.1]

----- The following addresses had permanent fatal errors -----
<atcollins@ameritech.net>
(reason: 553 5.3.0 <atcollins@ameritech.net>... Addressee unknown, relay=[24.132.238.149])

----- Transcript of session follows -----
... while talking to aitmx4.prodigy.net.:
>>> DATA
<<< 553 5.3.0 <atcollins@ameritech.net>... Addressee unknown, relay=[24.132.238.149]
550 5.1.1 <atcollins@ameritech.net>... User unknown
<<< 503 5.0.0 Need RCPT (recipient)


[message/delivery-status (405B)]
Reporting-MTA: dns; localhost.localdomain
Received-From-MTA: DNS; localhost.localdomain
Arrival-Date: Thu, 21 Sep 2006 23:44:34 +0200

Final-Recipient: RFC822; atcollins@ameritech.net
Action: failed
Status: 5.3.0
Remote-MTA: DNS; aitmx4.prodigy.net
Diagnostic-Code: SMTP; 553 5.3.0 <atcollins@ameritech.net>... Addressee unknown, relay=[24.132.238.149]
Last-Attempt-Date: Thu, 21 Sep 2006 23:44:46 +0200

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collins@... returns the same.
 
Quote from KS96:

----- The following addresses had permanent fatal errors -----
<atcollins@ameritech.net>
(reason: 553 5.3.0 <atcollins@ameritech.net>... Addressee unknown, relay=[24.132.238.149])

<<< 553 5.3.0 <atcollins@ameritech.net>... Addressee unknown, relay=[24.132.238.149]
550 5.1.1 <atcollins@ameritech.net>... User unknown
<<< 503 5.0.0 Need RCPT (recipient)




It is NOT atcollins@ameritech.net
It is aRtcollins@ameritech.net
More...
 
art collins corrects previous email addresserror--thanks to everyone who pointed it out

09-21-06 04:29 PM

by the way, ladies and gentlemen, i have an announcement that i won't post here out of deference to the site's sensibilities. but email me at artcollins@ameritech.net and i'll give you the skinny.
 
Art's futures biases for Sep 25.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.


____________________________________________
by the way, ladies and gentlemen, i have an announcement that i won't post here out of deference to the site's sensibilities. but email me at artcollins@ameritech.net and i'll give you the skinny.
 

Attachments

Art's futures biases for Sep 26.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
 

Attachments

Art's futures biases for Sep 26.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
 

Attachments

Art's futures biases for Sep 28.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
 

Attachments

Art's futures biases for Sep 29.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.


__________________________________________________
I know an S&P trader who has the following message taped on his computer screen: “Don’t be short the indexes at the end of the month.” He is certainly not wrong about the upside rollover bias, which is the crux of my day-of month indicator in the calendar box.

On the other hand, during this confounding September of un-seasonal market strength, surprise has been the rule rather than the exception. I will be shorting the indexes tomorrow based on the near-unanimous bearish signals across the board. My preferred arena will probably be the S&Ps
 

Attachments

Quote from Art Collins:

Art's futures biases for Sep 29.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.


__________________________________________________
I know an S&P trader who has the following message taped on his computer screen: “Don’t be short the indexes at the end of the month.” He is certainly not wrong about the upside rollover bias, which is the crux of my day-of month indicator in the calendar box.

On the other hand, during this confounding September of un-seasonal market strength, surprise has been the rule rather than the exception. I will be shorting the indexes tomorrow based on the near-unanimous bearish signals across the board. My preferred arena will probably be the S&Ps
More...


What are your thoughts after seeing what HPQ and Rimm is doing after hours?

Dean
 
Quote from Art Collins:

I know an S&P trader who has the following message taped on his computer screen: “Don’t be short the indexes at the end of the month.” He is certainly not wrong about the upside rollover bias, which is the crux of my day-of month indicator in the calendar box.
More...
I'm confused by this. Rollover only happens each quarter (and has already happened on 9/15), expiration happens on the 3rd Friday of the month. Neither of these would account for an upside bias at the end of the month.

What upside rollover bias are you referring to?
 
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