Odds Czar: Simple Biases In the Futures Market: 2008

[Art Collins]

Art's futures biases for April 14.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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For Monday, both major signal category boxes are solidly bullish in the foreign currencies.

 

[Art Collins]

Art's futures biases for April 15.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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All major signal categories are bullish in the indices for Tuesday.

 

[Art Collins]

Art's futures biases for April 16.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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For Wednesday, the index indicators remain solidly bullish, particularly the Russell.

 

[Art Collins]

Art's futures biases for April 17.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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For Thursday, the Czarcharts are giving buy signals in the bond complex and the continental currencies. They aren't overwhelmingly positive, but they are uncontested.

 

[trackstar]

system working well eh?

tomorrow i am expecting a 2 day sell off in equities and 2 day rally in bonds

 

[Art Collins]

trackstar wrote

system working well eh?

tomorrow i am expecting a 2 day sell off in equities and 2 day rally in bonds


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thursday was too mishy moshy for a definitve verdict. if you're sticking to your prediction though, i think you have a good shot at being right on friday.

 

[Art Collins]

Art's futures biases for April 18.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

 

[Art Collins]

Art's futures biases for April 21.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

 

[windsurfer]

Quote from Art Collins:

DBLARROW wrote
<snip>

And did I miss the year end review of how these biases held up last year?
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Art Collins replied
<snip>
And no, you haven't missed any year end review. I was on vacation away from internet access at the year's end and just haven't had time to look at them. Stay tuned though.

 

[Art Collins]

Art's futures biases for April 22.

A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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The day-of-month signal has switched from bullish to bearish in the index calendar indicators. We can probably expect more buying than selling pressure through the month's end. From there, it gets interesting. We move into the six-month time-block where the month-of-year price action tends to be negative. Will that apply in this already depressed year of 2008, or is that cycle already hopelessly out of wack? It's indeterminate at the moment, but it will be interesting to see what happens when you do get some bearishness back in the market, especially after May 6th. At that time, the, day-of-month and month-of-year biases will both be bearish.
As for Tuesday, we again have conflicting mishmosh. The best bet is to go long the continental currencies.