Just a heads up.
So i have a portfolio of 14 major name alt coins. Bitcoin goes up 10%, and the portfolio goes down 12% for a total USD difference of -2%. This is what we have been dealing with since mid August.
The only time alts seem to outperform BTC is when BTC emerges out of a major sell off. While alts will also sell off with BTC, they will bounce back with much more volatility for the first day or two. Then, as BTC finds its footing again, alts will lose ground against BTC.
Of course, specific alts continue to perform, and or outperform, regardless.
The common denominator seems to be those alts that have come out in ICO's in the past year or less, that have teams behind them, road maps ahead of them, and have not yet reached to top 10 market cap.
While i can't be entirely sure about the common denominator of the outperformers, i will probably up my allocation, over the next quarter, into a diversity of straight up ICO's (as early as possible), and BTC trading with a bot...or straight up holding.
One explanation could be that last spring, BTC was having serious trouble with it's speed and fees...and a looming fork(s). This caused it's domination to drop from like 85% down to 39%, and for alts, generally, to outperform by 2x on average. As recently as Nov 12, when it fought with BCash, BTC domination dropped as low as 47%, down from 62% on Nov 5. It has yet to reach it's Nov. 5 level of domination.
This is all to say that if the most important metric is market domination, and if BTC has a normal plateau of 85%, then there could be a lot more grief ahead for mainstream alt portfolios, as BTC dominance is currently at 57%.
Probably not till BTC get's back to it's new normal domination % will all boats start to rise more equally.
We may never see again as big a challenge to BTC as we saw last spring, and so, we may not assume alts have higher multiples because of lower caps.
While there are many "different" alts, it's surprising to see just how closely they are correlated, and move in unison to whatever BTC is doing, even the major name brands. Few break the mold, or for very long.