+ $150
Sim traded ES and did a horrendous job of letting profits run. Shorted @ 1102.75 pullback from the failed breakout, covered @ 1100.50 on the pivot off the 20 EMA. If Iâd left my initial stop loss in place and sat on my hands, I wouldâve captured that beautiful drop into the low 1090.00âs. I guess I couldâve reshorted on the bounce to the upper channel line, but I didnât because by thenâ¦
⦠I saw ANF wink at me from across the dance floor and I know and love ANF so I shorted @ 38.10 on the second failed attempt to make a new high. Knowing how I waste so much commission every time I trade ANF with little scalps, I decided to sit in this trade with my stop @ b/e until it made three pushes down. Failure to make a new high almost always results in a reversal with 3 pushes down and I was going to see just how patient I could be.
The trade became profitable right away then turned, leaving a large hammer behind. I nervously stuck with it as long as it didnât break out through the falling 20 EMA. The second leg down left a very small hammer, but the pullback to the EMA did not reach previous resistance. A very nice third leg down ensued and with price reaching 1 cm below the 20 on a 3rd push down, I covered on the pivot @ 37.34 for +$150. So thatâs how a trend follower does it. Each pullback was annoying to me emotionally (wanted to capture profits quickly), but the nice big profit with small commission costs was gratifying when all was said and done.
Not wanting to churn away my profits in the midday mush, I took the dog to the park. Returned to see that ANF had left yet another lower high and resumed the downtrend to make a new low. I guess one can be even more patient in an intraday trend than I was today, but then again I have implanted in my trading mind âBears make money and bulls make money, but pigs get slaughtered.â
I saw ES make a 4th attempt to break through the upper channel line in its range, but having seen this slow midday creep in the price action each day lead to a rally, I hesitated to put on a short position. I have a tendency to let previous trades and previous action exert undue influence on me at times and this was one of those times.
Three failures to resume the retracement of the drop was definitely a good short signal with a low-risk stop zone. Some of it Iâm sure had to do with the fact that I had a nice ANF profit showing and didnât want to risk any of it on a setup less than my ideal setup.