We are now well into the coast to coast mass exposure which has occurred and is occurring. Lockdowns being lifted or eased, heavy holiday weekend with little to no social distancing, millions out and about. If infection rate is still as aggressive as it was weeks ago then we should start seeing a very sharp spike in hospitalizations followed by a increase in deaths. We're a solid 5/6 days in already. Very few more days will tell the tale.
Actually the best examples would be the COVID results for people who attended mass events with no social distancing like the pool party in the Ozarks or the 4000 at the NASCAR race. There should be a spike in positive cases associated with these superspreader events.
Most people in the U.S. followed social distancing guidelines for the Memorial Day weekend which ended only 2 days ago, not 5 or 6. Expecting some mass spike in hospitalizations and deaths when the huge majority in the U.S. did not change their behavior is simple not going to happen. Focus on the results from events that did not follow the guidelines.