My Simple Profitable Strat: "ET Contrarian"

Bullish 18 31.58%
Flat 4 7.02%
Bearish 25 43.86%
I prefer to keep my opinion to myself 10 17.54%
Total: 57 votes 100%

long IWM 100 shrs @70.28
 
exited long in the morning @71.06. flat this week based on the weekend poll:

Bullish 10 35.71%
Flat 5 17.86%
Bearish 10 35.71%
I prefer not to tell 3 10.71%
Total: 28 votes 100%
 
short 100 shrs 74.17 based on the poll:

Bullish 46 56.10%
Flat 8 9.76%
Bearish 21 25.61%
I prefer not to say 7 8.54%
Total: 82 votes 100%
 
closed -100 shrs, went long 100 shrs @72.10 based on the weekend poll:

Bullish 12 26.67%
Flat 4 8.89%
Bearish 24 53.33%
I prefer not to say 5 11.11%
Total: 45 votes 100%
 
covered 100 Long shrs, went short -100 shrs @ 68.55 based on the weekend poll:
Bullish 27 58.70%
Flat 4 8.70%
Bearish 14 30.43%
I prefer not to say 1 2.17%
Total: 46 votes 100%

two notes:
1) naturally the long position got whacked after the last week
2) the latest poll is influenced by the large weekend futures jump but there were more bullish than bearish votes before the futures opened on Sun
 
i have been neglecting my journal. i can no longer spare cash to play with the journal and i actually paper-traded for a few weeks using IWM open price. i will keep the journal and the poll for now and plan to eventually have a table with the results.

the previous week poll was bearish so the system went long: covered -100shr and bought 100 shrs IWM May 17, 2010 @70.00

Bullish 14 37.84%
Flat 2 5.41%
Bearish 19 51.35%
I prefer not to say 2 5.41%
Total: 37 votes 100%

For tomorrow the poll is bullish so the system will be switching back to short:
Bullish 23 51.11%
Flat 3 6.67%
Bearish 17 37.78%
I prefer not to say 2 4.44%
Total: 45 votes 100%
 
will cover the short on Mon to go flat based on the poll:

Bullish 18 36.73%
Flat 6 12.24%
Bearish 21 42.86%
I prefer not to say 4 8.16%
Total: 49 votes 100%
 
updated poll results through july 0 2010:

june 06 2010:

Bullish 17 30.36%
Flat 5 8.93%
Bearish 30 53.57%
I prefer not to say 4 7.14%
Total: 56 votes 100%


june 13 2010:
Bullish 14 48.28%
Flat 4 13.79%
Bearish 8 27.59%
I prefer not to say 3 10.34%
Total: 29 votes 100%

june 20 2010:
Bullish 12 30.77%
Flat 2 5.13%
Bearish 21 53.85%
I prefer not to say 4 10.26%
Total: 39 votes 100%

june 27 2010:
Bullish 12 54.55%
Flat 2 9.09%
Bearish 6 27.27%
I prefer not to say 2 9.09%
Total: 22 votes 100%

july 05 2010:
Bullish 14 48.28%
Flat 4 13.79%
Bearish 9 31.03%
I prefer to keep my opinion to myself 2 6.90%
Total: 29 votes 100%
 
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