My energy trades

11/25/19 : Long ethanol F/G @-0.011.

- Z/F just went ballistic today.
- Argo terminal rail strike, difficulties for ethanol plants to get corn ( basis, moisture...).

Beware this contract us getting illiquid. Don't hold to close to FND if you are tempted...;)
Out @ -0.019. Crappy trade. This instrument is getting too illiquid. Quite a shame.
 
08/06/2019 : Short CL F/G/H fly @ 0.07

- The backwardation got really steep and the fly is really high.
- Fear of recession and lower oil demand.
- WTI isn't a good crude to produce IMO 2020 diesel compared to other grades.
-Seasonals.

12-09-19: Out @ -0.19. Good trade.
 
12-11-19 : Short NG K/N @ -0.105.

- The widowmaker is really low for this time of the year, dragging the spring spreads to teh downside.
- Storage levels back to 5 year average( were much lower a year ago ).
- Huge production growth from shale plays last year and Appalachian producers have send-or-pay contracts with pipelines, so they have to produce.
- Seasonals.
 
01-21-20 : Long Brent Z20/Z21 @ 2.17

- The 2021 expiries have flattened too much compared to the 2020 expiries in the last leg down.
- Brent is where the geopolitical risk is and IMO this risk is undervalued now.
-The current level is the previous july and september highs( hopefully turned support ).
-Seasonality.
 
Hi, Loving the content here. Does anyone have recommendations for a US based FCM/broker who knows how to properly margin calendar spreads. I heard back from a couple but at $10 per contract per side it seemed steep, I am based in UK.
 
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