Quote from oddiduro:
My analysis of the S&P is telling me that the index is severely overbought short term. I would be thinking about shorting this at 908.80. My exit target is 898.44 and then 890.63
OK, setting aside all the irrelevant BS about inertial mass, Galileo, Einstein, and whether Murrey's just a hypster trying to ride on Gann's ideas (although that seems like a very good probability). I'll ask some more directly applicable questions.
It sounds like your plan is to short at the waist of Friday's candle (which is only 1 1/4 below the close - easily hit just from morning volatility) and target the 6/8ths and 4/8ths for exit (all predicated on a 16 daily bar frame)?
Given that 1 1/4 points is easily within the morning volatility froth, why risk planning to jump in so quickly before any directional confirmation?
And why do you consider a 16 frame the best representation to use?
On a 32 frame (daily) it's got about 25-30 points before being overbought. Daily prices have oscillated between the 875 (0/8th) and 937.50 (4/8ths) on a 32 bar frame for almost three months. Seems that might present the nature of the price activity better than the 16 frame.
Of course, we could find out that an almost immediate short on Monday turns out to be right, but with preliminary intraday support at 905.5-905.7, why risk rushing into a short at 908.80 when you appear to not be planning for a possible turn of events should that support area survive (you don't appear to even be aware that such potential support areas exist)?
