So what constitutes listening to the market’s voice, doing only what you see the market doing, and being one with the market?
Well, begin by identifying where zones of significant support and resistance are located. You then need to follow clearly oscillating trend lines into these areas, and after they arrive, watch for signs of deceleration, possibly in the form of shrinking candlesticks or lower panel divergence, but preferably as signaled by the rolling over of carefully selected moving averages.
Your next step is to recognize the right time to buy coming out of dips constituting unjustified pessimism, or to sell coming out of rallies corresponding to unsustainable optimism, but even then, you should only do so if this series of events amounts to a pullback against the prevailing trend.
NEW RULES:
Extensive observation makes clear that, generally speaking, foreign currency exchange rates are willing to distance themselves only so far from certain key moving averages before being compelled to return to more typical deviation levels—distances I think of as “maximum degrees of separation” and refer to as “statistical support and resistance.”
If this is true, to maximize the statistical odds or mathematical probability of executing successful trades, all an individual need do is refrain from entering positions until and unless the exchange rate of a given currency pair makes its way to such levels.
It is on this contention that the 5-minute chart setup (not pictured) is based.
As you can see, there are three key moving averages at the heart of the system: SMA (x), SMA (y), and SMA (z).
SMA (z) functions as the day-to-day trend line, whereas SMA (y) tracks the intermediate or intraday direction of price. SMA (x) is less a reflection of the short-term trend as it is a quasi plumb line for gauging abnormally fast rates of acceleration.
The idea is to only enter positions when the exchange rate has deviated from all three of these key moving averages to a statistically significant degree.
To determine when such an event has occurred, check the lower panel indicators, collectively referred to as the Price Anomaly Channel.
The channel’s outermost bands are called the outer walls, so of course, the inner bands are called the inner walls, with the upper walls thought of as ceilings and the lower walls referred to as floors.
As a general rule, the only time it is permissible to enter a new position—the only time that a trade should be executed—is when all three oscillators have, at the very least, made contact with the inner ceiling or the inner floor of the Price Anomaly Channel.
Last edited:
