I just discovered this thread, and I admit I have not looked at all the pages, so if someone has said this, please excuse me.
Personally, I find it troubling to think this way as Girlpower outlines in her opening thread.....Simply just trade your system and set ups as accuratly as you can, regardless of you condition or average.
This is a probabilities business. One might start the day and do real well in the AM and quit in the PM. But you might need those PM trades to balance out the average. So its just not to reach ones daily trading goal and quit for the day.
It would be dangerous to place your trades with a variance in your mentality according to your "condition". For example...Well, I have done very well this AM...I can take wider stops now.
I trade the ES and am competing with all the other traders out there for points (I prefer to think in points not dollars as Girlpower has correctly posted) What does my condition have to do with anything? Do those other traders no my condition? Does my condition effect price action? You see what I mean?
One exception to thinking about your condition, might be a breakeven adjustment to an entry.....This does interfere with the natural movement of your velocity, momentum, and price action, as again the price does not know your breakeven. Mentally, breakeven trading removes much stress, but also can remove some profit.
No I know I said this is a probabilities business...and when trading multiple contracts ans scaling out to a BE position is less stressfull and allowing the probabilities to be on your side at a certain point......but again it will effect your average. Your methodology should stand on its own feet and your confidence should be based in that.
Now, my comments would not apply to multiple commodity trading as balancing several instruments who trade with different margins and price movements. Hedging, spreading, and balancing a portfolio of commodities is a whole other methodology and specialty. The overall portfolio risk is evaluated, not just the individual price movement of each individual instrument. Condition plays an important role in maintaing the % of return on the multiple commidity basket which is treated as one instrument.
Ok ....enough said.....There is much more....but I don't want to read this whole thread to see if its covered.
Michael B.
Personally, I find it troubling to think this way as Girlpower outlines in her opening thread.....Simply just trade your system and set ups as accuratly as you can, regardless of you condition or average.
This is a probabilities business. One might start the day and do real well in the AM and quit in the PM. But you might need those PM trades to balance out the average. So its just not to reach ones daily trading goal and quit for the day.
It would be dangerous to place your trades with a variance in your mentality according to your "condition". For example...Well, I have done very well this AM...I can take wider stops now.
I trade the ES and am competing with all the other traders out there for points (I prefer to think in points not dollars as Girlpower has correctly posted) What does my condition have to do with anything? Do those other traders no my condition? Does my condition effect price action? You see what I mean?
One exception to thinking about your condition, might be a breakeven adjustment to an entry.....This does interfere with the natural movement of your velocity, momentum, and price action, as again the price does not know your breakeven. Mentally, breakeven trading removes much stress, but also can remove some profit.
No I know I said this is a probabilities business...and when trading multiple contracts ans scaling out to a BE position is less stressfull and allowing the probabilities to be on your side at a certain point......but again it will effect your average. Your methodology should stand on its own feet and your confidence should be based in that.
Now, my comments would not apply to multiple commodity trading as balancing several instruments who trade with different margins and price movements. Hedging, spreading, and balancing a portfolio of commodities is a whole other methodology and specialty. The overall portfolio risk is evaluated, not just the individual price movement of each individual instrument. Condition plays an important role in maintaing the % of return on the multiple commidity basket which is treated as one instrument.
Ok ....enough said.....There is much more....but I don't want to read this whole thread to see if its covered.
Michael B.


