"Marketsurfer is correct: There is no Trends!" --- There are only Turns!

[ExperiencedJoe]

Thanks. This is very well stated. However, HFT proves quantatative models make mince meat out of nearly everything else. Otherwise, i thnk the evidence shows you are correct.

HFT is BS. HFT when it worked was just electronic front-running. Nobody can beat the banks in front running now. They have faster machines and networks. So if you were to try HFT, your money is going to the banks.

No doubt you are going to tell me you know a friend who does it and making truck loads. Unless your friend is here to prove himself to be legit, I am afraid he doesn't count.

 

[i am nobody]

i am nobody, how can you not give proof now with the offer of this overwhelming advantage? lmao.

I am consulting my lawyer right now to see if we will accept this overwhelming offer.......
My lawyer says that i can put him on ignore, then he cannot ask it anymore. Stupid that i did not think about this myself. Could have saved me 100$.

 

[ExperiencedJoe]

i am nobody, how can you not give proof now with the offer of this overwhelming advantage? lmao.

For a common nobody, the offer might seem underwhelming. But for a nobody who is trying to be somebody, my offer of permanently removing the noose that can spring up any moment is the offer of a life time. Without this noose removed, becoming somebody will be difficult.

 

[i am nobody]

For a common nobody, the offer might seem underwhelming. But for a nobody who is trying to be somebody, my offer of permanently removing the noose that can spring up any moment is the offer of a life time. Without this noose removed, becoming somebody will be difficult.

I know, that's why I realized myself that i am nobody.

 

[ExperiencedJoe]

I know, that's why I realized myself that i am nobody.

So what is your reason for not posting a trade then ? It will give away your strat ? It will give somebody a free ride ? For a nobody, the fear of failure shouldn't be a factor because no one will care about the win or loss of a nobody.

 

[ExperiencedJoe]

Since nobody wants to post a trade, I guess I have to do it myself then. Here's a trade I lost just under 1% earlier. I was busy playing nethack and ignored all the alarms going off because I didn't think anything would happen around that time of the day. But them scumbag banks and market makers got the better of me

I am working on to make back my loss double, triple, or quadruple. My trade is at the top with the scaffolding below. The scaffolding will be removed when the situation allows. If I am reading the market direction right, I will end up with an unassailable trade, and people will say: aha he got lucky. But in actual fact I had to work for it.

This is advanced trade construction. Nobody try this at home. Details on the scaffolding is proprietary trade secret. No questions on it will be answered.

 

[Scaleout.Scalper]

Since nobody wants to post a trade, I guess I have to do it myself then. Here's a trade I lost just under 1% earlier. I was busy playing nethack and ignored all the alarms going off because I didn't think anything would happen around that time of the day. But them scumbag banks and market makers got the better of me

I am working on to make back my loss double, triple, or quadruple. My trade is at the top with the scaffolding below. The scaffolding will be removed when the situation allows. If I am reading the market direction right, I will end up with an unassailable trade, and people will say: aha he got lucky. But in actual fact I had to work for it.

This is advanced trade construction. Nobody try this at home. Details on the scaffolding is proprietary trade secret. No questions on it will be answered.

Sounds very experienced to me.

 

[OddTrader]

Yes, indeed! Never seen here on ET before!

This is advanced trade construction.

 

[Scaleout.Scalper]

Yes, indeed! Never seen here on ET before!

lol

 

[hyperscalper]

Yeah, all traders are interested in "trend", which is closely related
to the old trader idea of "momentum". This is similar to the
"bowling ball" analogy, but in reality there is no such thing.
Prices trend, and have momentum because Market Makers
benefit from forcing the population of traders to trend... But
let's get into the issue of trend prediction.

My research and development work has been in the field of
Micro Scalping, so I am interested in predicting Micro Trend.

First of all, most traders use "lagging" indicators based upon a
"descriptive" indicator based upon Price movement. Describing
an existing observed trend, using maybe linear regression or
some such thing, is only "describing" what we see, but it is
NOT "predicting" the future price behavior.

What I seek, and have found after painstaking R&D work, are
"leading indicators" of trend continuation, and trend change.

BUT how could we have a "leading indicator"? It seems all we
can do as humans is to describe what we see, and how can we
know if it will continue, or when it may change?

My answer to that is that "randomness" is only an opportunity to
find "order within what seems to be random", which means find
a predictor. What could be such a predictor?

In a nutshell, Market Makers move markets through their overwhelming
power, relative to retail traders. BEFORE Market Makers change a
trend, they reposition their patterns of Bids and Offers on the
Depth of Market, aka "the Book". So, proper Book Analysis is
able to predict (ahead of time) both Trend continuation, and the
process of Trend Change through "reading the minds" of the
Market Makers.

This applies mostly to short term Trends, but it is successful in
turning what seems to be a Mystery or Random behaviors into
predictable, and thus "tradable" price behaviors. Because Market
Makers drive the markets, they "know" where they are headed
next. By analyzing their behavior patterns, we may be able to
"read their minds".

Now that results in a truly "leading indicator" which is what traders
want, since ALL trading depends upon predicting the future outcome.
I reliably see trend change indications often minutes before the
move becomes revealed in price movement, at which time it is
too late to enter. In micro scalping you must be in "before" the
price move is revealed to the trading public, who have only Price
to look at (or indicators based on price).

Good Trading !
HyperScalper