I think to rule out there is no recession is still a little too premature. The lines can be out the door but the key is how much will they SPEND.
Going back to even last year, wmt reported Black Fridays sale were down over 2005 and market conditions are a little worse now.
I spoke to a few economists today and they reminded me that with the weaker dollar we could spend more money but back out the deflation of the dollar and compare.
too many variables.