Macro trading

I Don’t think the stock market dip has fully played out yet, so I am sticking with my defensive position of USD (100% UUP) for another week.
 
Last week's results:
upload_2020-2-29_8-47-18.png
 
With coronavirus cases growing rapidly in the us and Europe, I don’t think the stock market has bottomed out yet. My defensive trade for next week is vglt - long term treasury etf. Just rotated out of uup and into vglt, at 100% allocation.
 
I think the effects of the virus will continue to be a source of uncertainty for quite a while, especially until the number of cases peak. To that end, I am staying defensive in VGLT

None of my posts represent an investment advice, and are provided for entertainment purposes only.
 
Sold VGLT at market close on Friday. Here are the results for last week:
upload_2020-3-22_22-0-50.png


For next week, I think at least some of the US sectors will continue to tank (retail ex essentials, travel, auto) and China might start to show some recovery. I'll think early next week as to how and whether to trade on this view, but might sit next week out in cash.

None of my posts represent an investment advice, and are provided for entertainment purposes only.
 
Didn't get around to posting the last couple of weeks. Here are the results for the last two weeks:

upload_2020-4-7_12-38-59.png


None of my posts represent an investment advice, and are provided for entertainment purposes only.
 
Results for the last two weeks:
upload_2020-4-20_9-39-15.png


This week's trade: cautiously getting into the US equities, focusing on the likely long-term winners of the current situation - Tech, Defense and Healthcare (xlk, ita, xlv).

Entering a defensive position of gold and USD (gld, uup).

Entering US Credit as one of the beneficiaries of the US policy actions (lqd).

Allocations:
xlk 3%
ita 3%
xlv 6%
gld 8%
uup 50%
lqd 30%

None of my posts represent an investment advice, and are provided for entertainment purposes only.
 
Terminated the equities portion of this week's trade today at market close. Keeping the GLD, UUP and LQD for another week. Here are the results for this week:

upload_2020-4-24_16-54-39.png


None of my posts represent an investment advice, and are provided for entertainment purposes only.
 
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