Kelly Criterion & Risk Of Ruin As Risk Management Tool

[ironchef]

Mr. Scalper,

You are providing very valuable information.
I sincerely hope that those reading your posts will recognize the value of your words.

Thanks, for your contributions.

. But it is not as simple as following a recipe or a formula. I had to work really hard to understand his concepts and philosophy.

Frankly I don't know how good an investor/trader is he but it does not matter since I benefited greatly from his counsel.

Regards,

 

[MACD]

. But it is not as simple as following a recipe or a formula. I had to work really hard to understand his concepts and philosophy.

Yes, IronChef -- perhaps you will soon find out that it will become simple in the application --but it does require "really hard work", to fully grasp the excellent summation, provided by Mr. Scalper, and sharing his great trading methodology.

Frankly I don't know how good an investor/trader is he but it does not matter since I benefited greatly from his counsel.

My bet is that Mr. Scalper is a profitable and skilled trader.

Regarding your getting the maximum benefit -- you certainly can get any help you need -- for example, any questions you may have to clarify points Mr. Scalper made. Ask him or put some questions or concerns here and I will add my clarification of his concise explanation.

The information really is very valuable and once understood, practiced, and used in trading your account you will be consistently profitable. How do I know? Contrary to most here, there are methods that are the best way to trade -- just like there is generally the best way to do anything -- for example a golf swing, cutting wood, or any other skill -- there is a "best way" to accomplish the sport or task. If this were not true, then everyone would be a professional athlete, carpenter, or trader. Yet 90 % of those who trade lose money or are not consistently profitable. First, you need to understand what constitutes the skills needed and then practice, practice and finally apply with confidence. Mr. Scalper has given you the Best methods or skills that will permit the next step. It does not take long to learn if you understand what is here and insist on getting any parts of the system you do not fully grasp. Push it -- to fully understand. Ask and you will receive...
Regards,

 

[MACD]

Click the "More..." Above

 

[ironchef]

Let me ask you and MrScalper the following questions:

1. For swing trades, I was able to look at charts and recognized certain patterns. Combining that with my existing method gave me better entries and better profitable exits the majority of the time. In general is chart pattern (S & R for example) trading a legitimate TA practice or was it just a lucky break for me? A yes or no answer suffices, no need to get into details.

2. For intraday or short term trading (day trading) I was told I need to be able to trade off bar to bar chart information. So far I did poorly. Any comments on this will be greatly appreciated.

Thanks.

 

[MACD]

1. For swing trades, I was able to look at charts and recognized certain patterns. Combining that with my existing method gave me better entries and better profitable exits the majority of the time. In general is chart pattern (S & R for example) trading a legitimate TA practice or was it just a lucky break for me? A yes or no answer suffices, no need to get into details.

No. (as to your point one)
Why?
It is hard to understand what values you are placing on the pattern or patterns that you believe is valuable, and then combining that with your "existing method". Understand collinearity and the effects thereof on your decision to enter a trade based on all you are considering (probably too much) and the decisions will be confused and of no value.
KISS may be the answer. Simple is Better. Keep It Simple Stupid

2. For intraday or short term trading (day trading) I was told I need to be able to trade off bar to bar chart
information. So far I did poorly. Any comments on this will be greatly appreciated.

This is no doubt something that you adopted from Al Brooks book or course on trading "bar by bar". Again, possibly combining way too much information into your decisions. KISS. Just like taking vitamins or medications -- when mixing several different vitamins or medications taken simultaneously you will do harm even to your trade decisions.

Conclusion: Let us show you what we do to simply trade profitably. It really is not that difficult. So, I am sure that Mr. Scalper or myself will be happy to assist. (Yes, some will share for free.) But posting in ET usually causes too much pain from those who just enjoy bashing. Generally, we all believe what we want to and it is difficult if not impossible to pry loose those beliefs -- even if those are conterproductive.

BTW -- It is difficult, at least for me to answer a genuine question without expanding on the need for a one-word answer. Sorry for my inability.

 

[MrScalper]

Mr. Scalper,

You are providing very valuable information.
I sincerely hope that those reading your posts will recognize the value of your words.

Thanks, for your contributions.

Information is of no real value until it is used in the correct way..in order for this to happen one must first understand what it is one is trying to achieve..as..it might not be possible to achieve the desired outcome depending on the circumstances!

It really is funny how many jump into throwing away their money without first spending some time gathering the relative information.. instead they gather useless information that has no basis on facts or..even common sense at times

Anyway..never worry about anyone else.. always look out for "number one"..and..never ever take financial advice from anyone who can not clearly explain the associated risks involved with the particular investment or speculative bet..way too many assholes out there..just make sure you never let your pants down..or you might wake up with one sore hole

 

[MACD]

Information is of no real value until it is used in the correct way..in order for this to happen one must first understand what it is one is trying to achieve..as..it might not be possible to achieve the desired outcome depending on the circumstances!

It really is funny how many jump into throwing away their money without first spending some time gathering the relative information.. instead they gather useless information that has no basis on facts or..even common sense at times

Anyway..never worry about anyone else.. always look out for "number one"..and..never ever take financial advice from anyone who can not clearly explain the associated risks involved with the particular investment or speculative bet..way too many assholes out there..just make sure you never let your pants down..or you might wake up with one sore hole

AGREE. Please understand that I am, like you, content. I am a giver, not a taker. Perhaps that is not being totally mindful of "number one". Thanks...

 

[MrScalper]

Let me ask you and MrScalper the following questions:

1. For swing trades, I was able to look at charts and recognized certain patterns. Combining that with my existing method gave me better entries and better profitable exits the majority of the time. In general is chart pattern (S & R for example) trading a legitimate TA practice or was it just a lucky break for me? A yes or no answer suffices, no need to get into details.

2. For intraday or short term trading (day trading) I was told I need to be able to trade off bar to bar chart information. So far I did poorly. Any comments on this will be greatly appreciated.

Thanks.

To be honest..no way to tell without seeing your entries and exits..but as I know how you operate ..I would say you are enjoying the bull run that seems to never be ending right now!!

Unless you are prepared for the worst case scenarios..and know exactly what not and what you must do.. then.. you really are just pissing about..same as most do.

It is a serious game..and requires serious attention..not will nilly trading and not understanding why you make and lose what you do.

A professional trader or investor means exactly that..it is your profession..not a little part time job for making easy money.

Academic bullshit doesn't help also..most academics are as thick as a plank when it comes to real life situations..they live in another world and can cost you a lot of money if you are the gullible type!

Currently loading Win 7 Ultimate on to a laptop..then install Office 2013 Pro..then use a crack to stop that silly anoying activation crap..I don't think they need my few $

 

[MACD]

Sometimes I wonder if it is worth the effort to be of any help? Maybe first, we need to really determine the motives and effort that wannabes will put forth. Needed: Willingness to listen, Respect for the effort, and acceptance that it takes some work to learn enough to be successful.

 

[MrScalper]

AGREE. Please understand that I am, like you, content. I am a giver, not a taker. Perhaps that is not being totally mindful of "number one". Thanks...

Yes.. everything is in context!

Last week a wild cat that frequents our home was not well..I got a call..came home..got the cat in a cage.. brought to vet..vet kept overnight..rang me next morning said cat was bit better but not eating..said would keep for day..rang me bout 2 hrs after said cat had deteriorated badly and was getting fits..I said to put him down and I would call up later and pay him.

Cost me over $100 for a wild cat..but I did not care as I like animals..and try to help them any way I can..to be honest..I would not do the same for some people I know..in fact..there are some..who..if were drowning in the river..I would throw them a brick..but I would never ever harm a poor animal!

Point is..yes..I do believe in what goes round comes round..but..I also do believe in "an eye for an eye"..only way.. those who con people out of money or whatever.. deserve exactly what they get..only way..no exceptions!!