At the risk of getting back to "trading" rather than talking about the pros and cons of Publias' decision to stay or leave (I am gratified it appears the jury is back, and he has decided to stay), I think I want to make a comment about the "Top Traders Don't Share" thread.
The amount of responses is huge, and the number of views even bigger.
In one word, I think the premise is NONSENSE.
I think top traders DO share. It is a matter of how much, and with whom.
I do not believe I have ever even heard about, much less actually known, a successful trader that did not get help somewhere along the line from another trader (or traders).
Are there traders that are secretive about what they do? ABSOLUTELY!. But the ones I know who are, do not trade the way most of us trade. They are "special situation" traders. If I knew, for example, that stock X had a predictable relationship to stock Y, and there were times that relationship was out of whack, and this could make me money, and..the two stocks were thin trading stocks....well, no, I wouldn't share that, because that information, if too widely recognized, could affect my trades in it.
But IN GENERAL, I don't believe sharing information about what works for for me can be detrimental to me. If I trade 5,000 shares of a stock, or 50,000 thousand in a day, and that stock trades 100,000,000+ in a market that is trading 2 billion shares a day, what can I possibly say and to whom can I say it, that will influence the the action of that stock?
And regardless of the existence of "ego" (as has been argued here now ad-nauseum), and it's value or worthlessness if it does exist, I would have to say that the very last thing a successful trader is afraid of is an unsuccessful trader ruining their "mojo".
Originally posted by nitro
My guess as to the distribution of moneymakers on ET:
-100K to 0 : 50%
0 to 10K : 45%
10K to 50K : 3%
50K to 200K: 1.9%
200K + : twelve people, maybe
If this is the way you guys go about finding good trades, endless debates about crap without empirical evidence, God help you...
Now I find myself quite surprised to have read this. I had the impression that Nitro was himself a pretty successful trader. But in this post, he implies he is not. He asks the right questions, and his own statements and opinions about trading seem pretty well formed. So why does he A: apparently believe that less than 5% of the people are not wasting their time, and B: Why does he bother with this site if that is what he believes to be true?
I don't know the answers to these questions, but I am going to stick my neck out here and put forth a "theory". And that is that perhaps there are too many traders here that are trading from home and home is for most people just not a conducive atmosphere from which to trade.
I have tried it. It doesn't work for me. I tried it in July (just last month), and while most of the guys I know (even from what I hear on this board from guys I don't know), July was a pretty good trading month. But my experiment was a failure. I did not lose money, but neither did I have a successful month.
My feeling is to trade like a pro, it requires a professional atmosphere. It takes (at least for me, and I have traded for a lot of years) getting out, going to a "job" and communicating face to face with other traders who are trying to make a living doing the same thing. Sharing ideas and observations with those people. This is different than endlessly debating irresolvable issues of philosophy with people who are nameless and faceless on an internet bulletin board.
I have tried to share some of my trading approaches. I have gotten plenty of responses both negative and positive. But I absolutely know that nothing I have divulged (worthwhile or worthless) has in any way affected my trading, or my results.
"EGO" Time: Broke 80 yesterday playing from the back tees!!! (proof anything is possible)
Good Trading and Peace and Stuff to All,
RS7