JEM Algo used by Nate Silver's 538 predicts Senate win for Rs.

jem said:
Its very close right now according to the polls. Using the polls the algo sees a 57% chance of the Rs up by one seat with a one runoff they should win.

But there there is also a 25% chance the polls are substantially off and that democrats get blown out by the shift of the millenials and others to the gop.

There is also a 7% chance the Dems ground game / vote fraud... give it to the dems.
we see voting machines and non americans casting a lot of votes.





http://dailycaller.com/2014/10/30/expectations-crushed-millennials-reject-obama-in-droves/


Millennials who participated in the poll and said they will “definitely be voting” in next week’s elections prefer Republican congressional candidates over their Democratic opponents by a margin of 51 percent to 47 percent.

That’s a dramatic about-face compared to recent elections.

In both 2008 and 2012, college students and the rest of America’s youth voting bloc voted enthusiastically and overwhelmingly for President Barack Obama. In 2012, for example, Obama trounced Mitt Romney among young people by a margin of 67 percent to 30 percent in populous and crucial states such as Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio, according to a Tufts University study.

In 2010, the last “off-year” election, the same Harvard poll found that millennials favored Democrats over Republicans by 55 percent to 43 percent.
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There is "also a 75% chance" that rep voter fraud will secure it for reps.
 
you could start by ceasing to install greenhouse gases that are 2000 times more powerful than co2.
you alone might be a larger "carbon terrorist" than ricters entire oil company.

and the two of you are probably create thousands of times more the "carbon terrorism" than all the conservatives we know combined.

so give it rest until you align your real life with your internet activism.




futurecurrents said:
Well it'll be just great with a GOP congress and a dem prez. Lot's will get done about global warming.
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jem said:
you could start by ceasing to install greenhouse gases that are 2000 times more powerful than co2.
you alone might be a larger "carbon terrorist" than ricters entire oil company.

and the two of you are probably create thousands of times more the "carbon terrorism" than all the conservatives we know combined.

so give it rest until you align your real life with your internet activism.
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So you're admitting greenhouse gases are warming the planet?
 
greenhouse gas science says co2 warms. nasa says co2 is also a very powerful coolant I have presented that science to you repeatedly. Science does not know if adding man made co2 has a net warming or cooling impact.

I am not sure about the net impact of air conditioning coolant.
But... I will say the co2 nutters think it will be responsible for 25% of the warming even though only a little of it is expected to leak out.

Ricter said:
So you're admitting greenhouse gases are warming the planet?
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Very few people think of that way. But it is a true as the fact that CO2 is greenhouse gas and is warming the planet. Too fast, way too fast. Ecosystems will collapse.

Vote GOP.......kill the earth.
 
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