He's flipping MI. PA is more likely to stay the same. If Trump flips one state it'll be NV, but it's highly unlikely.Biden isn't flipping MI. WI is a toss up. Trump's won unless PA flips which is unlikely.
Actually he only needs one of NE2 and ME2. NE2 is the most likely to flip. If Biden flips AZ, MI, WI, and NE2 he's the president. The 269 tie happens if Biden wins AZ, MI, and WI, but Trump holds everything else.
If that 8 point margin holds I'm not confident anymore.
MI and WI won't hold, the mail-in will flip it for Biden.If that 8 point margin holds I'm not confident anymore.