I am going to wait and see before I give out kudos... We need more time.
There have been a few professors and some articles I have seen where the thesis is this virus burns out on its own and follows similar curves regardless of the intensity of the the shutdown... which only delay things a bit. I will be surprised by that... but it may follow a slow burnout. Once a place gets super spreaders under control and the most vulnerable are protected (or have died) ... what is Covid like then?
I think I need about of a two months worth of no shutdown data... before I we know if any of this was necessary after the first 2 to 3 weeks.
For instance where is Sweden going to be a month from now vs say CA or New York for Florida?
There have been a few professors and some articles I have seen where the thesis is this virus burns out on its own and follows similar curves regardless of the intensity of the the shutdown... which only delay things a bit. I will be surprised by that... but it may follow a slow burnout. Once a place gets super spreaders under control and the most vulnerable are protected (or have died) ... what is Covid like then?
I think I need about of a two months worth of no shutdown data... before I we know if any of this was necessary after the first 2 to 3 weeks.
For instance where is Sweden going to be a month from now vs say CA or New York for Florida?
As I have said before, there are some lefty states that I will give credit to because credit is due.
One such state is Oregon. They have not had a covid related death in two days and it was down major before that so it is not just a fluke or reporting issue, and the number of new cases is below the last week in March. Unlike New Zealand, that is not easy if you are part of the larger geographical landscape that includes Washington and California which has had a lot of covid and Oregon has had no way keeping people out as New Zealand has had. What can I say- the commies have performed.
Similarly even though New York/Cuomo are lefties, I would not hesitate to give them credit if they had performed. The problem though is not that they are lefties. It is that they did not perform.
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