Is Trading Just Guessing?

[PointOne]

Quote from jack hershey:

The common source of these two sets of certain information is the mind after you have fully differentiated your mind through growth and hard rational work.

The differentiation can be handed from one person to another. Gaining the facility to use this full package takes a little time to acquire fluency.

Certainly very few people can be chosen and even fewer will do the work.

Why is guessing even on the table?

I speak Hershey, here's a working explanation:

IF you can establish what is going on up to now [in terms of price volume channels on 3 levels etc] and form a hypothesis of what must happen next in the price volume sequence AND draw up a plausible counter hypothesis with the opposite conclusion THEN at some instant one of these hypotheses will be falsified and you can trade the other with certainty.

However over time you will not need the crux of the alternative hypothesis and can be certain sooner as your mind is fully differentiated.

I guess.

 

[southbeach4me]

Quote from ocean5:

What you think is not interesting to anyone

U like acting like an ass?

 

[ocean5]

Quote from southbeach4me:

U like acting like an ass?

No,i like when someone is saying something for sure.''I think'' means ''I`m not sure'' or ''I dont understand what i`m talking about''.

Are we agree?

 

[ocean5]

Quote from PointOne:

I speak Hershey, here's a working explanation:

IF you can establish what is going on up to now [in terms of price volume channels on 3 levels etc] and form a hypothesis of what must happen next in the price volume sequence AND draw up a plausible counter hypothesis with the opposite conclusion THEN at some instant one of these hypotheses will be falsified and you can trade the other with certainty.

However over time you will not need the crux of the alternative hypothesis and can be certain sooner as your mind is fully differentiated.

I guess.

Do you know WMCN?Can you reply with one word?

 

[RCG Trader]

Quote from ocean5:

Do you know WMCN?Can you reply with one word?

Hitch, Stall, HVS, VE, or FTT, all one word. And depending on what happened last, all are candidates for WMCN.

 

[ocean5]

Quote from RCG Trader:

Hitch, Stall, HVS, VE, or FTT, all one word. And depending on what happened last, all are candidates for WMCN.

Think again.In ONE word.

 

[PointOne]

Quote from ocean5:

Do you know WMCN?Can you reply with one word?

Mu.

 

[bwolinsky]

Quote from ocean5:

No,i like when someone is saying something for sure.''I think'' means ''I`m not sure'' or ''I dont understand what i`m talking about''.

Are we agree?

It also means, "I think." Being an ass is not the best way to start for your alias.

 

[ocean5]

Quote from bwolinsky:

It also means, "I think." Being an ass is not the best way to start for your alias.

The world is full of "thinkers",you know.

 

[oldtime]

Quote from ocean5:

The world is full of "thinkers",you know.

ocean5, I know you have a thing about the difference between "thinking" and "knowing".

They have volumes in the Philopsphy department library debating as to whether it is ever actually possible to know anything.

The idea isn't to know if "Trading is Just Guessing" the idea is to just talk about what you think about it.

You're forgiven