Is Trading Itself a Bad Trade? I Analyzed the Industry- Prove Me Wrong

I have an expired coupon for your book at 90% off. Can you send me another?
I would send him one. But full price.
You forgot to switch accounts before posting this.

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I suppose that's good?
Of course. I would always 100% recommend doing things legally and ethically. There are plenty of legal ways to profit in this world without resorting to unethical and illegal acts. HFT funds, essentially front-run orders...but do it legally ...as an example.

Steve Cohen, however, it must be noted, did not go to jail but the authorities took away his permissions to manage money as punishment. You can use him as a case study of a certain 'mind-set' not an example of how to behave.
 
OK, you were one of the posters who swore at me in a previous post with no justification. But I didn't take it emotionally.

Instead, I will loop back and repeat clearly what is written in the title and in a number of posts I have made. Very clearly for you.

The premise is not whether I can or cannot trade... the premise is that 'trading itself is not a good trade' if we apply conventional trading mindset/tools to it. It is in the title of the thread. In other words, that there are better trades out there with a better risk/reward than trading itself if we analyze it. How much more clearly can I spell it out?

On your point as to whether I am a good 'trader' or not...that is a side issue and is 'off topic'...but I will address it anyway...and I have already explained...the best traders trade when the odds are clearly and consisently in their favour (it is called 'an edge') and none of them is moronic enought to place a trade with a tiny fraction of a percentage of success with huge downside if other opportunities exist.Which is why, in my opinion, no retail trader will ever become a Steve Cohen.

In my case...the risk/reward was always in my favour in my roles as a portfolio manager or a stockbroker....I always made money. Many of the so-called success stories people mention do a similar thing (and I have given examples). They 'know the game'...witness Buffet ripping off the poor in their mobile homes.

If my clients lost money or made money....I always made money. Ergo...I am and was a good profitable trader. It didn't make sense to play against guys like me and become a retail client on the losing side of the trade...logically...I preferred to be on the right side of the trade.

It is a different mindset that I am trying to share with you...the mindset of a winner...a predator...and survivor. In a way...I am trying to 'raise you up' despite your insults.

This is just my own observation, FWIW. You start out by making some incendiary observations that are essentially outdated by twenty years. I read your OP, and it's like watching a Seinfeld rerun. I felt compelled to get out my Soundgarden and Nirvana CD's from storage.

Like the concept of brokers. I personally don't use a broker and I tell my clients to dispense with their brokers - I require a direct clearing firm with a risk manager that knows how to correctly margin a spread position. That eliminates 99 percent of "brokers". Portfolio Managers are a breed in precipitous decline - most every fund these days is run by an army of quants. Even for your loathed and scorned retail traders - quite a few of them have been using automation for at least a decade. Ninja Trader started up in 2003. CQG has relegated their traditional charting platform to an afterthought with Integrated Client, and Trading Technologies has pretty much deplatformed X-Trader in favor of their quantitative systems trader tool suite. Most of these 'retail types' you deride - at least here in the States, don't require your services. They require a deep discount and a very good ECN interface.

From my viewpoint you're trying to incite with really outdated opinions that are largely irrelevant in 2019. Much ado about nothing really.

I wish everyone good fortune and the very best.
 
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Of course. I would always 100% recommend doing things legally and ethically. There are plenty of legal ways to profit in this world without resorting to unethical and illegal acts. HFT funds, essentially front-run orders...but do it legally ...as an example.

Steve Cohen, however, it must be noted, did not go to jail but the authorities took away his permissions to manage money as punishment. You can use him as a case study of a certain 'mind-set' not an example of how to behave.
Thanks cityboy!

Now, what about those payslips etc?
 
I agree that the brokerage industry is in decline (due to regulations etc)....I refer you to my previous posts (my first one in particular) where I mention this.

To repeat again. I have worked in both and advisory and discretionary capacity but also within online discount brokers and other platforms. In all cases, I made money and the businesses did also as there are still millions of clients who require their services and the companies are alive and well (albeit declining). Some clients require (for example) an FX platform for their MT4 whilst others (usually the older generation) like to speak to a human advisor to place trades and recommend trades. Different client have different needs.

I think you misunderstand what a broker is...this can be a regulated individual but also a platform which offers execution services. Countless examples are on ET. All of them charge a commission per trade. I could go into the very very shady practices of many (stop hunting, aggressive sales practices, mis-quotes etc). The average retail client does not have the capital to obtain low fees and genuine direct market access which automatically puts them at a disadvantage. Please let me know who you use as an ECN and also their fees and minimum capital.

And as far as automation is concerned, it is simply a means to trade. The fact that you set up an algo on Ninja Trader does not give you much of an edge in and of itself. You still have to program/design it. The same extremely high statistical probability of failure exists as would be the case if you traded manually.

Your under-resourced algo will be competing against funds with billions of capital with teams of quants and access to the markets milliseconds in front of your trade. Not much of an edge that I can see or have seen any evidence for.

I noticed you charge $7500 for training. Do you have an audited P&L you can post up?
 
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I am a stockbroker , working for a small company. I would testify here , only people who made money in the markets are long term investors , I had customers who never sold a share , just kept adding for years , all the others fast money chasers got hammered in market downturns , trading effected my career big time , decades of trading i'm down and lost all my good trading clients.

Good points, good post, Trend magnet. Even though i enjoyed that post; a smaller % of traders make it. I would not even call firm like VIRT a trading co[WSJ calls them that]; they're market makers.
And while i mostly agree with you post ;averaging down on GM , DAL, AMR was a killer/bankrupt. NOT a stock tip or prediction.:D:D
 
Thanks cityboy!

Now, what about those payslips etc?
I have no problem, I will have to blank out my name and NI number as I am a regulated individual and will not incur reputational risk. Then, in all probability, you will say my payslips are fake. Then a new cycle of accusations will be launched from other viewers (further conspiracy theories and ad hominem attacks).

Please, however, remember the premise of the thread is in the title...it is not whether I am a good/bad trader...but if trading itself is a good trade using conventional trading analysis. I refer you to the title again.
 
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