Robert Morse
Sponsor
Buy options when VI is low and sell them when VI is high
How do you determine low and high?
Buy options when VI is low and sell them when VI is high
OMG...vanzandt.. thanks for the article push but now you just gave me a ton of work next week(s) ...
this sentence from that article is very significant...
"Near as we can tell, this is a persistent source of edge in the market and yet the complexity of the process seems to deter investors from using this kind of data to make alpha-generating decisions. Speaking of alpha-generating decisions, we might sell a December call in LITE (or in any number of other currently high-GEX names)."
gotta plumb that edge and see if I can create my own GEX and use it to scalp contracts last 3 days to exp or easier is to buy flies centered around that sticky strike. A quick and dirty would probably be to look at price x% higher (since covered calls are mostly 2-3 sigmas higher, look for elevated open interest there and buy the fly there..The last part of open interest is the harddest part since I gotta figure out a way to load the bloated OI in my scans.
How do you determine low and high?

Don't give us small mom and pop option traders a hard time. Some of us do make money sometimes.Of course options can make you money, but the odds of a retail pleb making money trading options is extremely low, so low that it is nearly impossible to find the %.

Best advice I have seen on this thread. You are a real pro.As per Tom of Tastytrade, if you don't agree with the strategy, you can do the opposite. Of course he still gets his commission on every trade.
I am doing the exact opposite of your strategy. My batting average is only .33 for the year. 33% of my trades are profitable. But my portfolio profits are incredible. Obviously, the bull market helps but if we plunge, my long vega just gets better. My focus is making money on the portfolio and in a low vol environment, long vol is overall profitable cause I have unlimited upside and pay very little in commissions and market spreads. Don't try to pick up pennies in front of the steam roller! End game is making money for the year - not just winning more times than you lose.
May I ask you a question: Many of the options I traded were thinly traded with wide bid/ask. Normally I just aimed for mid point between bid/ask. Was I wrong to aim for mid point?If you're not a professional, narrow the products that you trade so the bid/ask spread is fair. I wrote an algorithm that instantly changes my order price based on the underlying and the order book so I am less concerned about the liquidity and trust my server.