Inventory Grab Alert 4/30/09!

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Quote from manlycure:

If you don't get the CD divergence you want at a specific price/time, just choose another price/time, it's going to give you what you want sooner or later. My dad used to say - you can always run a straight line through any 3 points... if the line is thick enough :-)

Ok, I'm just kidding, it was a good *long* day, leaving the shorting to the experts.

CD divergence @940:

AH to RTH open: -10k
RTH open to lunch: -20k
an hour after lunch: -10k
dinner time: +10k (back to lunch level)

CD momentum does seem to be to the downside tho.

D.
There was several very good intraday aggressive LONG trade signals I saw. There were two good scalp LONG signals I had today, right as I also had a perfect NYSE TICK set-up.....both those trades had over 5 point runs. Both bulls and bears had opportunities for some coin today.
 
Quote from Insearch:

Thank You AMT, I'll take your word for it . . . but would you please elaborate on why the additional inventory need not be tracked? I notice that you have labeled the second probe above 47.25 (around 14.28 on your chart) as shorts building inventory and improving cost basis . . .
The reason to not worry about the other inventory gap shown is the upper bracket of 48,000 will need to be neutralized before price can breakout. The lower inventory does not have that significance.....it is just there and nothing special about it (if this lower inventory gap is neutralized it will not cause price to breakout as there is still 48,000 above)

As for the rotational movements to the 947's, sellers will just add additional inventory from those better prices and then pull off other inventory entered from slightly lower prices. They will swap inventory to adjust cost basis while also somewhat building the overall size of their held position. :)
 
Quote from AMT4SWA:

The reason to not worry about the other inventory gap shown is the upper bracket of 48,000 will need to be neutralized before price can breakout. The lower inventory does not have that significance.....it is just there and nothing special about it (if this lower inventory gap is neutralized it will not cause price to breakout as there is still 48,000 above)

As for the rotational movements to the 947's, sellers will just add additional inventory from those better prices and then pull off other inventory entered from slightly lower prices. They will swap inventory to adjust cost basis while also somewhat building the overall size of their held position. :)

Thank you Sir. I was going to add in my post . . . "is it b/c just like you'd have that those 48K would dispose off of their lower priced inventory and hold on to their "valued" positions", so thank you for the confirmation . . . and the additional insight . . .
 
Quote from Alcoeus:

Great thread AMT, thanks for sharing!

I'm wondering though, what you make of the CD for NQ? That CD divergence you see in ES with the new high in price today isn't seen in NQ. I've attached a chart of NQ showing the higher high in CD as well.
Thanks!

http://img4.imageshack.us/img4/8412/nq060962200910000volume.jpg
I really don't track the NQ due to the overall volume levels and lack of commercial participation. I will say the Nasdaq has been more strong than other indexes so that chart does not really surprise me at this point.
 
Quote from Alcoeus:

Great thread AMT, thanks for sharing!

I'm wondering though, what you make of the CD for NQ? That CD divergence you see in ES with the new high in price today isn't seen in NQ. I've attached a chart of NQ showing the higher high in CD as well.
Thanks!

http://img4.imageshack.us/img4/8412/nq060962200910000volume.jpg

I used to track CD readings for NQ, but I switched to ES. I am not shure if it was my datafeed beeing all wrong, but my CD readings made NO sense at all when tracking NQ, compared to how it is tracking ES. Sometimes when conditions were really bad, it was like watching price of 2 different securities, if you know what I mean. They could, for periods of time, move in compleatly different directions.
 
Quote from veggen:

I used to track CD readings for NQ, but I switched to ES. I am not shure if it was my datafeed beeing all wrong, but my CD readings made NO sense at all when tracking NQ, compared to how it is tracking ES. Sometimes when conditions were really bad, it was like watching price of 2 different securities, if you know what I mean. They could, for periods of time, move in compleatly different directions.

NQ cdv movements can be incredibly bizzare. e.g., Price trending down, CDV trending up. I think it points to a liquidity problem in NQ... it's just not very deep.
 
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