Inventory Grab Alert 4/30/09!

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Quote from AMT4SWA:

. . . .if she dumps hard in the weeks/months ahead. :)
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I like how you refer to it as "she" . . . must be influenced by the bikini warrior girls next door . . . :)
 
Quote from Insearch:

Some questions AMT . . . . .

aren't the 950s sellers and 876s buyers the same group of people? Or a majority of them?

If not, what PA/Delta characteristics distinguish one from the other?

Is there any value in watching the full sized S&P500 contract w or w/o delta?

Now that the Junes have matured, what do we need to look for in CD to establish reaction of the 876s buyers . . . I'd assume they rang the till on the 950s probes and below, but probably have not reloaded on Septs? Therefore, it's a matter of seeing whether they come in at all in that zone?
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Yes some of the positions may be from the same group.......but trust me, you will DEFINITELY see a reaction in price as we trade into the delta zone at 876's to 872.75 :) You will see either very strong buy reactions or a big dump out of the 876-872.75 delta zone......there is still HELD resting inventory that was established in that area (and was rolled over to the new contract).

BTW, I do pay attention to the full contract
 
Quote from AMT4SWA:

Yes some of the positions may be from the same group.......but trust me, you will DEFINITELY see a reaction in price as we trade into the delta zone at 876's to 872.75 :) You will see either very strong buy reactions or a big dump out of the 876-872.75 delta zone......there is still HELD resting inventory that was established in that area (and was rolled over to the new contract).

BTW, I do pay attention to the full contract
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I actually do believe you when you say that there'd be a reaction off of 876s but, how did those positions exactly rollover if we haven't yet touched the zone in Septs?
 
Quote from Insearch:

. . . . how did those positions exactly rollover if we haven't yet touched the zone in Septs?
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Is it possible to opt to continue a position at the expense/profit of basis (from one contract to another) . . .?

If so this'd be new to me . . . and something I've learnt . . . at the expense of showing off my noobness . . . :)
 
How on earth do you tell that positions from 878 were transfered over to the new contract if it's never even hit that price yet? As I understand the longs from 878 would have to cover and repurchase to roll over? Or do they let you hold if your in profit when a contract rolls over?
 
Quote from Hungryman:

How on earth do you tell that positions from 878 were transfered over to the new contract if it's never even hit that price yet? As I understand the longs from 878 would have to cover and repurchase to roll over? Or do they let you hold if your in profit when a contract rolls over?
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When you rollover to a new contract of course you would buy in at whatever price you paid at order entry (while then locking in profits from the closed out contract). But the held position "origination" cost basis was from the 876's area for the previous contract (for those held LONG's from the lower delta zone discussed). Yes the position has to be rolled over to the new contract to maintain the position, but the "origination" cost basis for the held position started from the delta zone pricing area. If price trades back to those support levels "on paper" those remaining positions would be at/near b/e from the point the overall position was first originated (counting in the "booked" profit from the closed out previous contracts).......if price trades 876's then the originated LONG positions from that delta support zone last month will be back to b/e of the trade origination point.
 
Quote from Insearch:

Is it possible to opt to continue a position at the expense/profit of basis (from one contract to another) . . .?

If so this'd be new to me . . . and something I've learnt . . . at the expense of showing off my noobness . . . :)
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The rollover is just a mere technicality to maintain a position going forward (you "book" the profit from the old contract and then initiate new entries in the new contract to maintain a held position).
 
Quote from AMT4SWA:

The rollover is just a mere technicality to maintain a position going forward (you "book" the profit from the old contract and then initiate new entries in the new contract to maintain a held position).
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I recall the sep was in backwardation trading 4 pts lower than the June including the risk free rate, so i think you shouldy be sniffing around the 872's in that case :cool:
 
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