Yeah, but that was a "black swan" event....only occurs once per generation.....at most.Another usable example would be the LTCM bailout, where the Black-Scholes model + leverage caused a worldwide crisis!
Yeah, but that was a "black swan" event....only occurs once per generation.....at most.Another usable example would be the LTCM bailout, where the Black-Scholes model + leverage caused a worldwide crisis!
I trade NQ my SL is based on market condition, from experience RR 15pt/30pt seems to be a sweet spot for me and max drawdown is set at my daily average, I didn’t do backtest cuz I feel like that’s backward thinking too many what ifs sometimes clouded my judgment. But I do keep a journal to document all the mistakes that I made, one glaring thing stand out is no SL, (I used to trade without SL) Never again!! Good luck!
Interesting....because I have heard of the opposite RR: 30/15 for instance. I don't understand why you don't trust a backtest of this factor ?I trade NQ my SL is based on market condition, from experience RR 15pt/30pt seems to be a sweet spot for me
Daily average of drawdowns ? How far back do you go in the average ? 10 days, 30 days, etc.max drawdown is set at my daily average
Interesting....because I have heard of the opposite RR: 30/15 for instance. I don't understand why you don't trust a backtest of this factor ?
Daily average of drawdowns ? How far back do you go in the average ? 10 days, 30 days, etc.
First of all, scalping fast moving markets like ES, NQ, etc. is pretty foolhardy without taking an automated approach. On top of that, where are your trading stats ? Win rate, avg win, time-in-trade, etc. Your trading stats are the most important thing you can have right now.
You need a platform for both realtime and backtesting purposes. The backtesting will tell you how much risk to take for 1-2 points of profit. Typical Risk/Reward ratios are 1:1, 2:1, 3:1.....
re: "What would be the indicator that tells me momentum?"
There's a ton of them....RSI, MFI, OBV, etc.
You'll discover quickly that sometimes you go with the momentum indicator and sometimes you fade it.
A good auto trading platform will allow you to switch between both modes.