This is what I am looking at...
Oil is breaking out and making a nice rise, but the Nasdaq-100 is lagging behind the $SPX. I am thinking some sector rotation into the energy plays is happening especially with the pressure on Iran right now. Obama is giving us a hint. He would not sit there and look like a fool...go back on his campaign promise...if there was not something big about to happen to oil.
So I think that ES is going to pull back off of Friday's high pole because of sector rotation and then retest the diagonal...
The SPY is heavily weighted with technology. If oil and natural gas are on the rebound along with the metals then you are going to have a rotation to the materials and energy sectors. A lot of money is going to flow from technology and then move into energy/materials on anticipation of Iran problems and Obama's little hint about oil going up these last few days...because of said rotation then you are going to have a pullback. The market is so heavily weighted in technology, healthcare and other such animals (but not Exxon or Chevron) that I am not sure if the market will rebound off that diagonal.

Oil is breaking out and making a nice rise, but the Nasdaq-100 is lagging behind the $SPX. I am thinking some sector rotation into the energy plays is happening especially with the pressure on Iran right now. Obama is giving us a hint. He would not sit there and look like a fool...go back on his campaign promise...if there was not something big about to happen to oil.
So I think that ES is going to pull back off of Friday's high pole because of sector rotation and then retest the diagonal...
The SPY is heavily weighted with technology. If oil and natural gas are on the rebound along with the metals then you are going to have a rotation to the materials and energy sectors. A lot of money is going to flow from technology and then move into energy/materials on anticipation of Iran problems and Obama's little hint about oil going up these last few days...because of said rotation then you are going to have a pullback. The market is so heavily weighted in technology, healthcare and other such animals (but not Exxon or Chevron) that I am not sure if the market will rebound off that diagonal.



Apr 5 3:38pm ET