Quote from Ripley:
I always find myself on the opposite end of a huge move. What gives? I don't know.
Maybe it is because I only move my stops, and don't mess with my profit targets.
I think it is because I am doing something wrong when trying to follow trends. And this following excerpt is just what I am doing wrong. I am trying to follow prices when they look abnormal without realizing that they are that for a reason.
I think Mr. Eckhardt said it best: There is what I refer to as "the call of the countertrend." There's a constellation of cognitive and emotional factors that makes people autmatically countertrend in their approach. People want to buy cheap and sell dear; this by itself makes them countertrend. But the notion of cheapness or dearness must be anchored to something. People tend to view the prices they're used to as normal and prices removed from these levels as aberrant. This perspective leads people to trade counter to an emerging trend on the assumption that prices will eventually return to "normal." Therein lies the path to disaster.
Here is one of my typical trades. And thats the first trade I had after the weekend and a lot of soul searching etc and that trade took a lot out of me.
This is a powerful observation, but you must take it to heart. In another post you mentioned some MA pointing down. so what? You derive the dominant trend from a higher timeframe, not the one you're using for entries. The idea of taking a position against the dominant trend must become totally abhorrent to you.
