Quote from ElectricSavant:
Is the basis for your decision to move, predicated on the now? or what you can move it into?
You are, very skillfuly, asking the cardinal question for making the best use of time for given capital. It is predicated on NOW as you say. That is my view of the only thing I have to work with. The issue is that I have timed my entry and I am in and as time passes I am not getting the result that I need. this happens about 1 out of 8 times for me. But it is true that I have several things going on. I have streams of money and they each have stocks lined up in a batting order, usually three deep. And I have pinch hitters sitting on the bench. A batter strikes out so to speak and I have another ready to step up.
It is also true that I am watching for "opportunities". An opportunity is there becuase of how I do prep before the market opens. for me it simply comes down to looking at thre lists where the lists are sorted in real time according to the leading indicator of price. The cream rises to the top as every minute passes. Price moves subsequently.
The decision to move is not too dramatic. It is very slow motion in the sense that I have a display that is very very fine tuned. It comes down to using the est parts of several feeds and coding data into boxes that talk to me visually.
The key stuff for making decisions is on sheets of paper covered in plastic. Since I made up the sheets (or others teamed with me to do it), I am familiar with them and how to make the comparisons.
If the now is not performing, is that the trigger?...or is "what I can move it into is better" the trigger?
yes it is both. I work in the order you tryped. there is th consideration (above) of is the entry doing what was expected. I believe strongly in divorce and not stock therapy with a psychologist. ff I see a barn burner ("rocket") and I am in the later period of another trade, I deal with it right then and there. The impact of sing this kind of reasoning is that it can double your performance. The basic concept of just comparing best buys with worst holds is a phenomenal consideration. there is no boredom in trading streams of capital. you can see that the concept of drawdowns is a myth of trading when you are working in this manner.
for the humor of it, the volume sorting column on Qcharts is labelled "unusual volume". You can see that the designers and marketers of platform are estranged from trading to make money.
I would have named the column the "double your cash flow" column.
Do you scan and look for the fresh money? and then do you evaluate your opens...or vice versa?
I do not have cash available ordinarily. The basis of this is that you have to have capital in the markets where price is changing to make money. So I am a person who is looking at several things. FINDING CAPITAL IS FIRST. Grub grub.
I have very strong early warning systems as well. Several really kille inventions that cam from years and years of observations. I am an engineer type grind or nerd. They come in three categories: interrletaing variables (scoring); making sequences of the cyle appear (knowing where you are, knowing what is next, and knowing how fast things are sequencing) and calibrating everyting invented to work in the contemporaty market (this includes making up signals)
So I can do a weeks trading arrangements on Sunday evening. People who have been with me can verify this in spades. If I were playing tennis with Stevie Cohen he would lose the games lol. There is documentation as well.
So I have a signal for early warning. Then I have a leading signal of price. Then I have price performing. Since I have the batteing order before these signals are coming up, I am in a good place. Then there is the automated part of all of this.
I just wish everyone did all of this all over the world.
Liz drops in once in a while and says "did you se that?" It is so much fun.
How does your analysis differ in a bear market?
No not really. I do concern myself with more than the "natural" cycle of a few days for the long. And it is true that short trading (not mentioned in ET so far) makes more money than the long trading. The short and intermediate term channels are important to draw. They keep you away from the edge of the earth and they also tell you when you have a Babe Ruth moment coming up. When an IT, ST and natural cycle converge, home runs are hit on the breakouts. The familiar rocket with JATOs on it.
Michael B.
I just move money from one thing to another periodically and the basis for this movement is that the markets have limits for making money and I can only watch so much at any time.