how do you guys pick tops and bottoms

[dazed101]

hi, can you guys kindly share how to pick tops and bottoms fairly accurately using technical analysis? thanks

 

[ChaosNSX]

Prepare for either a bloody nose, or a smelly finger.

 

[nonlinear5]

According to the latest book on TA that I am reading ("Evidence-Based Technical Analysis: Applying the Scientific Method and Statistical Inference to Trading Signals"), the common indicators don't work: http://www.amazon.com/Evidence-Base...741/ref=pd_ys_qtk_rvi_img/002-6984095-6266432

Not that any uncommon indicators are offered as an alternative. As the moderator suggested above, you are not likely to get any meaningful info from this thread.

 

[Trish]

Quote from dazed101:

hi, can you guys kindly share how to pick tops and bottoms fairly accurately using technical analysis? thanks

You don't.
Enter after conviction of direction.
Plan a target only to show where to take your profits and don't be perfect about reaching the price number.
Play 'between' the tops and bottoms.
...no one knows the top or bottom....

 

[a529612]

It's easy to pick precise top and bottom with hindsight.

 

[rcj]

Hey ... no problem picking. Here's whut i use.
Works great!

 

[dazed101]

Quote from rcj:

Hey ... no problem picking. Here's whut i use.
Works great!

Nice, I'll look into this.

 

[Miragers]

Quote from nonlinear5:

According to the latest book on TA that I am reading ("Evidence-Based Technical Analysis: Applying the Scientific Method and Statistical Inference to Trading Signals"), the common indicators don't work: http://www.amazon.com/Evidence-Base...741/ref=pd_ys_qtk_rvi_img/002-6984095-6266432

Not that any uncommon indicators are offered as an alternative. As the moderator suggested above, you are not likely to get any meaningful info from this thread.

Looks like according to him anyone that has used TA in the past 50 years is the luckies man alive because its all subjective BS. Thats what I got from looking at that page anyway.

 

[dinoman]

Its called confirmation!

 

[panzerman]

Quote from dazed101:

hi, can you guys kindly share how to pick tops and bottoms fairly accurately using technical analysis? thanks

Since high and low are only relative (except for zero) I think a better question to ask is how to spot a reversal from a recent trend. Oscillator indicators are best for this. My favorite is RSI. When RSI goes above/below a threshold value I define, then I look for price to cross over a MA as a filter to signal a reversal.

Therefore, I can never get the exact top or bottom of the recent trend. That's alright, because no one else can consistently get them either. I just have to keep my stops fairly close in case the previous trend continues.