How can you tell when the trend is over?

[MarkBrown]

trend to me is momentum that agrees with the current momentum.

the problem is often getting rid of the lag which detecting momentum induces.

 

[Redneck]

Better question yet:

How can one tell it is a trend - LOL (truly - unless it a zero - over time a case can be made for most any instrument.... - look!!! it an uptrend..., no wait it a downtrend..., oh shit it in a range..., no damnit it chopping)

Ever seen price goin up..., when it actually going down

How bout moving down..., when it actually going up

and sideways - that always a fun topic

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imo - better to think in tradeable moves

How to identify - pick a F'n trading TF (which one doesn't really matter so long as it fits your eye)

Next, use context to frame price up )

Keep said context to a minimum - nothing more confusing than a mucked up chart...

And oh yeah - draw enough lines / bullshit - something is bound to work - to which I would reply... you're missing the point entirely


Then permit price to be your guide



As one does this - one will pick up cues (call em sign posts / markers/ chicken and dumplings - it really doesn't matter)..., as to when price will keep going..., rest..., pull back / create a new swing H/L / reverse


Not rocket science - just read the damn map / story / sign post - whatever term one wants to label it - then do what price is telling you


Use a stop loss for when a trade doesn't work - and know some won't


RN

 

[Leob]

tradeable moves

 

[murray t turtle]

Everything is always trending (unless it goes to zero)...............

Why context is one very important aspect

Once one can define it (consistently) - one can identify what its doing / or has done / or extrapolate out what it likely will do next

I said likely - there are no guarantees what price does next

RN

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Good trend\
probabilities matter much more/ than any angle or prediction