How can you even claim that technicals matter?

Use the brokers leverage.

That's one of the reasons why traders fail...nothing to do with technical analysis. Thus, brokers give too much leverage to sucker in customers and there's nothing in place by the broker to ensure the customer does not abuse the leverage.

Thus, you do not have to use those crazy leverages by the brokers.

Leverage is a poison to traders...very few are immune to its toxic impact.

Yeah, you're right, if someone gets lucky while using a lot of leverage...they claim they are a genius.

wrbtrader
 
I was just thinking about it today when I was looking at how recent news is what is moving markets. Not moving averages or RSI Etc.

Of course not, MA's and RSI and all such indicators do not "move the market." They just use some mathematical equation to provide some sort of graphic representation of what the market has done relative to some point of reference. If you think price ever moves because it happens to coincide with an MA or because an indicator pattern presents itself, then you might be watching too many youtube guru videos. Here's the catch: They aren't trading gurus. They are just good at getting youtube page views or whatever.

If I could find any way to even get a slight edge above 50%, then I could form a strategy around that and find a leveraged way to trade that strategy.

There certainly situations where there is an 80% probability of price moving so far and in such a direction rather than doing otherwise. There are many situations where there is a 60% chance price will do one thing rather than the other. Why limit yourself to a roulette style edge when there is so much more available to you?

Dest ran $10K up to over $10 Million in something like 20 years. You don't do that piking around with "a slight edge above 50%."

By the way, the ES is 3251 right now which would have been a buy trigger price yesterday. If price trades below it without quickly reversing higher, then odds increase that price continues down to the low 40's, and even back to the low 30's.

ESH 3241 trades and there goes an opportunity for a what? 3:1 trade or so and that was easily a 60% odds trade.
 
ESH 3241 trades and there goes an opportunity for a what? 3:1 trade or so and that was easily a 60% odds trade.

And, back below 3239 without a quick reversal, odds get high that 3233 trades (and quite lower, in fact is possible) before its time to pack our toys and go home for the weekend.
 
Yea except it's an hour drive and I'm leaving for a 1 month vacation in a few hours. I'll be glad to when I get back tho.

Want pics of my vacation?

London --> Latvia --> Uzbekistan --> India --> Israel --> Bulgaria --> Serbia --> Poland --> Ireland. I'll be glad to.
Even in a winning trade, isn't there a high probability it was luck?

If I guess correctly in roulette, I'm not gonna brag about it or act like a genius.

May I suggest you would have a better vacation if you avoid arguing about technical analysis on a trading site until your return?:)
 
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