Plus,
there's another big disadvantage you're not thinking about, the house is always up a tick on you. Let's say you buy 1100.50, and your stop is 1100 and your target is 1101. You're more likely to get stopped out than hit target, because it's easier to get stopped out. If 1 person sells 1 contract at 1100 that will trigger your stop to sell at market or 1100. If 1 person buy 1100, nothing happens. You may have to waiit for 800 contracts to be bought at 1101 before your order gets filled.
So, in your example, it's not 50/50, but the market is naturally weighed against you a tick, and then there's also the five bucks for commissions. Then, there are also times when the markets move very quickly and your stop is not respected, and you'll lose more than you intended to, but your target will always get you out at you two ticks.
This is why accounts can blow up quickly, no matter what you do.
there's another big disadvantage you're not thinking about, the house is always up a tick on you. Let's say you buy 1100.50, and your stop is 1100 and your target is 1101. You're more likely to get stopped out than hit target, because it's easier to get stopped out. If 1 person sells 1 contract at 1100 that will trigger your stop to sell at market or 1100. If 1 person buy 1100, nothing happens. You may have to waiit for 800 contracts to be bought at 1101 before your order gets filled.
So, in your example, it's not 50/50, but the market is naturally weighed against you a tick, and then there's also the five bucks for commissions. Then, there are also times when the markets move very quickly and your stop is not respected, and you'll lose more than you intended to, but your target will always get you out at you two ticks.
This is why accounts can blow up quickly, no matter what you do.