Housing Rolling Along 2

That's why ya gotta have a pool, babe.......
Quote from stockgirl:

oh yeah, Delray is sweet as long as you don't mind living with communist - ever go to the beach - just check out the signs at the beach entrances - no ball playing, cats, dogs, frisbee, parties, hell, you can't even fly kites - i'm suprised they let you walk on the sand...oh yeah dealray the place to be...oh don't be harassing the marine animals...

Sec. 101.18. HUNTING OR MOLESTING OF WILDLIFE. Ha! Ha! - what people are humping the humpin craps?

Sec. 101.19. FIRES. - would want to burn down the sand

Sec. 101.27. ANIMAL REGULATIONS. - DAmn Can't even bring you own dog Ha! Ha!

(A) No person shall herd, graze or permit to run at large within any park any cattle, horse, mule, donkey, goat, swine, sheep or other animal, or any poultry or other fowl.

(B) No person shall bring into, have or keep in any park, recreation or municipal beach site, any cat, dog or other animal without a specific permit from the Parks and Recreation Department. However, any cat, dog or other animal shall be allowed on the sidewalk and grassy area of the municipal beach between the eastern curb of State Road A1A and western base of the dune for the entire length of the municipal beach and shall be on a leash. For purposes of this Section, the western base of the dune encompasses all vegetative growth that is found on the dune. All animal owners shall be responsible for the cleanup and disposal of their animal waste in this area.

Sec. 101.29. UNDRESSING ON BEACH; INDECENT APPAREL. - Dudes don't wear you panities...

(A) No person shall dress or undress on the beach except in taking off or putting on dressing robes and shoes.
(B) No person shall be dressed in such a manner as to lasciviously expose the sexual organs.

Sec. 101.32. ASSEMBLIES. - No Parties

No person shall use any portion of any park, recreation or municipal beach site for the purpose of assembling, where over twenty-five (25) persons are involved.

Sec. 101.33. PLAYING BALL; USING GYMNASTIC EQUIPMENT. - No Frisbe, Footbal, nothing Ha! Ha!

(A) No person or group of persons shall engage in ball playing of any kind except in areas provided therefor.
(B) No person shall use or bring upon the beach for use any platform, trapeze bars or similar articles for gymnastic exhibition or use.

Sec. 101.34. SURFING, SCUBA DIVING AND JET SKIS.

(A) No parasailing or kiteboarding/kitesurfing shall be permitted within three hundred (300) feet of any municipal beach site within the limits of the City. No surfing, windsurfing or kite-flying shall be permitted except in areas designated by the City Manager. It shall be the duty of the chief lifeguard to see that proper markers are maintained to indicate the location of any area to be designated. No person shall use any object at any time on the beach or in the Atlantic Ocean in a manner that constitutes ahazard to any other person.
1. An exception to the prohibitions in Section (A) is a life-or-death emergency which may require a kiteboarder/kitesurfer to traverse on or within three hundred (300) feet of any municipal beach site.
(B) Scuba diving and jet skis are prohibited from all areas of the municipal beach.:D :D :p :p
 
in 1990, Cali was the last state into recession... what is the GRP in cali, like the 6th or 7th largest if it were a country? USA never came outta the duldroms until cali turned up after the 1990-1994 resession. i think san diego county alone would be like 35th in GRP- memory not as good as it used to be.

people fight change, they will not move until they lose their jobs. no real unemployment here. the scary part is that the economy really hasnt turned down here; not like aerospace cratering last time. before the blast off, i remember talking to an apt rehab guy doing big deals and 2br units in his project were $21,000/year, which at that time was a housing payment and more in reno, without the commuting traffic and no state taxes. he said people will keep paying until they HAVE to move. if NY, FL, CA go in the dumper, east fargo, ND aint gonna take up the slack.

this thread has been over 200 pages w/o name calling. hopefully, we'll all live long enough to see how it turns out. manias are manias. manias dont end with a few people getting a scratch.

rates are a myopic view of financing availability, because credit standards have been about as sloppy as they can get. people shud move outta cali, but they havent yet - i think they will, but it will be triggered by sellers realizing that this is an opp to get out and many will not want to risk holding thru another complete cycle and/or unemployment. i think companies shud relocate - how much do you pay a guy to qualify for a $700,000+ median priced home in O.C?

i think Dumb & Dumber settled in Aspen, CO :D

Quote from SteveD:

First of all:

Rates are at about the 50 year average....not abnormally low....

Refinancing from ARM to fixed rate is up as reported today...

Young people who cannot afford home in California will move to where they can afford home....simple as that....been happening for over 150 years.....

And, please quit using Southern California as proxy for the national
housing situation, for God's sake.....you talk about dumb and dumber....


SteveD
 
Quote from Pabst:

That's why ya gotta have a pool, babe.......

Problem with San Diego is that jobs don't pay anything. I know a ER Doc who gets $300k a year in Portland for 18 days of work. He comes down to San Diego the rest of the time to surf. He has been trying to find a similar job in San Diego but the most he can make is around $180k.

The median wage in San Diego is lower then in many other cities.

It's almost as if the people who moved to San Diego 20 years live in an entirely different world then those that moved to San Diego 5 years ago.

The problem with San Diego is you will not have some company announce that they are moving there and bring 1500 hundred employees like what you see in Dallas, Atlanta, Phoenix. etc.

Companies can move to those places and bring tons of jobs and people can afford to relocate there to take jobs that come open.

They can't in San Diego.

I love San Diego and I will move back sooner or later but it's got problems with wages, and employment growth.

John
 
Quote from Jayford:

What's a single person to buy? What's a first time buyer going to buy?

The biggest problem with your example is the ARM. What are they going to do when it adjusts? Just keep refinancing over and over, assuming you even can? What happens if rates rise significantly in the future (no one knows 5 or 10 years out what might happen. A dollar crash for example, rates sky rocket no matter what the FED does). Just because rates have been low for awhile does not mean they will remain low.

People who HAVE to use ARM's, CAN'T AFFORD THE HOUSE. They get sucked in only to get screwed later. This allowed the prices to climb so high in the first place.

If you can't afford the mortgage on a 30 yr, then guess what, you can't afford it period. It blows my mind that people don't think this through. There are so many people starting to lose their homes because of this. There are still valid reasons to use an ARM, but if its the ONLY way you can get into the house, you are just asking for disaster.

The popularity of ARM's has not changed a very fundamental ratio of what is affordable, except for the short term. This argument reminds me of the sky high tech prices in 1999. People claimed its a new paradigm. Different this time.

So, I guess prices are not out of line, if, and only if, you must rely on ARM's
OK

I wholeheartedly agree. I was simply pointing out how someone could afford to buy in the market you described. You have to understand that the psychology of investing in RE has (did) changed. I ran across a story about how the CEO of Coutrywide was personally calling borrowers who had option ARM's to make sure they understood the risks. Long story short, all of them were CONVINCED that their house would continue to increase in value. None of these people would even entertain the idea of values declining. This is when bubbles pop.

http://www.latimes.com/business/inv...83397.story?coll=la-headlines-business-invest
 
What is really getting interesting is that banks/mortgage companies are already starting to tighten up on their lending practices. They are actually starting to confirm income for example. If enough homes go under, these loans will get even tougher to get.


You are going to have some people who are not even under water who can't qualify for another ARM, and then payments double. Ouch!

Its going to accelerate what is already happening. This time next year will reveal how bad it will get (or not get). Just my opinion of course.

Jayford
 
Quote from jficquette:

Problem with San Diego is that jobs don't pay anything. I know a ER Doc who gets $300k a year in Portland for 18 days of work. He comes down to San Diego the rest of the time to surf. He has been trying to find a similar job in San Diego but the most he can make is around $180k.

The median wage in San Diego is lower then in many other cities.

It's almost as if the people who moved to San Diego 20 years live in an entirely different world then those that moved to San Diego 5 years ago.

The problem with San Diego is you will not have some company announce that they are moving there and bring 1500 hundred employees like what you see in Dallas, Atlanta, Phoenix. etc.

Companies can move to those places and bring tons of jobs and people can afford to relocate there to take jobs that come open.

They can't in San Diego.

I love San Diego and I will move back sooner or later but it's got problems with wages, and employment growth.

John

i cant agree w/ the ER doc example, i know 2 here who make big bucks, but you're are 100% correct about incomes. lots of people move here and dont realize that they are gonan actually take a pay cut. i moved here 20+ years ago, house is F&C and if things get bad, i may buy another... eventually, im outta here, but yesterday the weather was just perfect. BTW, i do most of my work in L.A. county - fees are higher.
 
Quote from krazykarl:


Quote from Pabst:

There's no capital gain liability on a primary home profit of less than 250k (500k if married).


i learned something today! i've only been a homeowner for 10 months.(yes, i have an ARM)

doesnt that apply only after you have lived in your home for 2 years?
 
Wow! Just on the news 16,500 homes went into foreclosure in Florida this August alone. I'm glad i paid mine off 5 years ago. I live in Cape Coral and bought my little 1335 sq. ft. house in 1993 for 62,500.00. Now watching all these mansions going up around me and seeing who's buying them is just amazing. Most of these people are just your average 40 hr/week Joe. I couldn't understand how they could afford it and now I'm seeing they can't. It's really kind of sad watching people lose their butt on this.
 
It won't affect the monthly cashflow, but keep in mind real rates (rate - inflation) are pretty darn low now depending on how you measure the inflation rate.

Traveler
 
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