We were right about Obama twice.We were right about more people supporting Hillary,millions more.We were only off by 78,000 votes which will easily be fixed in 2020.
House Panel Approves $10B for the Wall.
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We were right about Obama twice.We were right about more people supporting Hillary,millions more.We were only off by 78,000 votes which will easily be fixed in 2020.
How is it different? Money was taken from American taxpayers and used to fund dreamers education. Should there not be a penalty for that? Should there not be a penalty for skipping the immigration line?
There should be no penalty to the dreamer who came here as a child
Does the US not have a demographic problem with old boomers around 2030?
Peil & Co. will be wishing they had someone to change their adult diapers so this could be quite the Pyrrhic victory for them.
Peil & Co. will be wishing they had someone to change their adult diapers so this could be quite the Pyrrhic victory for them.
Do you mean like Trump's kids profiting off his crimes? (It's rhetorical. Don't waste your time trying to answer. )
Ya know, it doesn't bother me all that much. I think if I was Trump's kid I'd just learn to live with the fact that my Dad's a mentally ill gangster, and accept what largesse comes my way. I'd try to position myself legally so I wouldn't have to go down with him. The one thing I wouldn't do is lie to Mueller's grand juries.
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Tony needs to shut the fuck about this subject of him predicting that hillary would win the popular vote.
he is misrepresenting history again... he is basically lying his ass off because his posts also predict an electoral college win.
he posted on this thread just a few days before the election...
and his posts show hillary with up to a 98.1 percent change of winning the electoral college.
Tony... most of your sources are a fucking joke as were your posts about the electoral college victory. That makes you a joke for not owning up to the truth but instead rewriting what you were claiming.
https://www.elitetrader.com/et/thre...-without-the-algo.301548/page-83#post-4355251
he is misrepresenting history again... he is basically lying his ass off because his posts also predict an electoral college win.
he posted on this thread just a few days before the election...
and his posts show hillary with up to a 98.1 percent change of winning the electoral college.
Tony... most of your sources are a fucking joke as were your posts about the electoral college victory. That makes you a joke for not owning up to the truth but instead rewriting what you were claiming.
https://www.elitetrader.com/et/thre...-without-the-algo.301548/page-83#post-4355251
- Betting markets 323-215
Princeton Election Consortium Clinton 312, Trump 226
Silvers original algo 290-246
RCP 297-241
Huff Post 341-197
washington post 290-209
Fox News 283-192
#821 Nov 5, 2016Report
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jem- 26,575
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http://www.mediaite.com/online/nate...huffpost-writer-after-highly-critical-column/
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Spike Trader and Tony Stark like this.- 26,575
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#826 Nov 6, 2016Report
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Hillary Clinton Is Leading In A Greater Portion Of Polls Than Obama Was In The Last Two Elections
Things are looking good for the Democratic nominee.
11/06/2016 12:47 am ET | Updated 14 hours ago
Janie Velencia Associate Polling Editor, The Huffington Post
Hillary Clinton has consistently led in a greater portion of presidential polls in the two months heading into Election Day than President Barack Obama did in both 2008 and 2012.
The Democratic nominee is ahead of GOP nominee Donald Trump in 93 percent of polls conducted in the two months before Election Day. Trump leads in just 3 percent of the polls. Another 3 percent of polls show a tied race.
The ratio of the surveys she leads in is slightly less when polls with third-party candidates are analyzed.
Overall, these statistics reflect a greater level of certainty of Clinton’s position as the leader than was present for Obama in 2008 and 2012. Obama led in 83 percent of polls against Sen. John McCain, who led in 11 percent, in 2008. The 2012 race was closer and that uncertainty was reflected in the lower ratio of polls Obama led to former Gov. Mitt Romney: 62 percent to 26 percent.
The range by which Clinton leads relative to Trump also stands in stark contrast to the 2008 and 2012 elections.
The former secretary of state leads by 1 to 13 points in the polls she is ahead in. Trump’s lead, among the 3 percent of polls he’s ahead in, ranges from 1 to 2 points.
Even when the data range is narrowed to the week heading into Election Day, Clinton still has a strong advantage. Polls get more predictive of the outcome the closer they are to Election Day.
Clinton leads in 87 percent of all the two-way polls and 82 percent of the four-way polls conducted in the week before Election Day. Trump leads in 0 percent of those polls.
Comparatively, Obama led in 100 percent of the polls in the same time range in 2008 and 69 percent in 2012.
Huffington Post
The Huffington Post election forecast model provides even greater certainty of Clinton’s strength heading into Nov. 8. The forecast, which assesses polls in all states, predicts a 98.3 percent chance she’ll win and just a 1.4 percent chance Trump will win.
#827 Nov 6, 2016Report
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#828 Nov 6, 2016Report
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jem- 26,575
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Obama had 320 4 years ago... she only has 270 right now according to his work.
http://www.breitbart.com/video/2016...nton-one-state-away-losing-electoral-college/
#829 Nov 7, 2016Report
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Obama had 320 4 years ago... she only has 270 right now according to his work.
http://www.breitbart.com/video/2016...nton-one-state-away-losing-electoral-college/But his algo has Hillary at 296.this is why with the exception of his original algo i ignore him.- 4,039
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Tony needs to shut the fuck about this subject of him predicting that hillary would win the popular vote.
he is misrepresenting history again... he is basically lying his ass off because his posts also predict an electoral college win.
he posted on this thread just a few days before the election...
and his posts show hillary with up to a 98.1 percent change of winning the electoral college.
Tony... you sources are a fucking joke as were your posts about the electoral college victory. That makes you a joke for not owning up to the truth but instead rewriting what you were claiming.
https://www.elitetrader.com/et/thre...-without-the-algo.301548/page-83#post-4355251
- Betting markets 323-215
Princeton Election Consortium Clinton 312, Trump 226
Silvers original algo 290-246
RCP 297-241
Huff Post 341-197
washington post 290-209
Fox News 283-192
#821 Nov 5, 2016Report
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jemhey... overall we kept this far more civil than nate and the huffpo.
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http://www.mediaite.com/online/nate...huffpost-writer-after-highly-critical-column/
#822 Nov 5, 2016Report
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Spike Trader and Tony Stark like this.
Tony Starkhey... overall we kept this far more civil than nate and the huffpo.
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http://www.mediaite.com/online/nate...huffpost-writer-after-highly-critical-column/
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Buy1Sell2http://www.investors.com/politics/ibd-tipp-presidential-election-poll/
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#824 Nov 6, 2016Report
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w3cSeems an evident victory for Clinton.
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Tony StarkLooking good for Hillary supporters
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#826 Nov 6, 2016Report
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Tony Starkhttp://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/hillary-clinton-polls_us_581e2897e4b0e80b02ca6962
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Hillary Clinton Is Leading In A Greater Portion Of Polls Than Obama Was In The Last Two Elections
Things are looking good for the Democratic nominee.
11/06/2016 12:47 am ET | Updated 14 hours ago
Janie Velencia Associate Polling Editor, The Huffington Post
Hillary Clinton has consistently led in a greater portion of presidential polls in the two months heading into Election Day than President Barack Obama did in both 2008 and 2012.
The Democratic nominee is ahead of GOP nominee Donald Trump in 93 percent of polls conducted in the two months before Election Day. Trump leads in just 3 percent of the polls. Another 3 percent of polls show a tied race.
The ratio of the surveys she leads in is slightly less when polls with third-party candidates are analyzed.
Overall, these statistics reflect a greater level of certainty of Clinton’s position as the leader than was present for Obama in 2008 and 2012. Obama led in 83 percent of polls against Sen. John McCain, who led in 11 percent, in 2008. The 2012 race was closer and that uncertainty was reflected in the lower ratio of polls Obama led to former Gov. Mitt Romney: 62 percent to 26 percent.
The range by which Clinton leads relative to Trump also stands in stark contrast to the 2008 and 2012 elections.
The former secretary of state leads by 1 to 13 points in the polls she is ahead in. Trump’s lead, among the 3 percent of polls he’s ahead in, ranges from 1 to 2 points.
Even when the data range is narrowed to the week heading into Election Day, Clinton still has a strong advantage. Polls get more predictive of the outcome the closer they are to Election Day.
Clinton leads in 87 percent of all the two-way polls and 82 percent of the four-way polls conducted in the week before Election Day. Trump leads in 0 percent of those polls.
Comparatively, Obama led in 100 percent of the polls in the same time range in 2008 and 69 percent in 2012.
Huffington Post
The Huffington Post election forecast model provides even greater certainty of Clinton’s strength heading into Nov. 8. The forecast, which assesses polls in all states, predicts a 98.3 percent chance she’ll win and just a 1.4 percent chance Trump will win.
#827 Nov 6, 2016Report
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Tony StarkHuge jump in the betting markets after FBI news
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jemNate explains... Hillary one state away from losing Electoral College...
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Obama had 320 4 years ago... she only has 270 right now according to his work.
http://www.breitbart.com/video/2016...nton-one-state-away-losing-electoral-college/
#829 Nov 7, 2016Report
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Tony StarkNate explains... Hillary one state away from losing Electoral College...
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Obama had 320 4 years ago... she only has 270 right now according to his work.
http://www.breitbart.com/video/2016...nton-one-state-away-losing-electoral-college/But his algo has Hillary at 296.this is why with the exception of his original algo i ignore him.
I did think Hillary would win because the winner of the popular vote wins over 90% of the time.I was right that Hillary would get more votes,she got millions more votes.I was off by only 78,000 votes in The EC
Your dumb ass on the other hand said Romney would beat Obama, and Romney lost by 5 million votes and 126 electoral votes.Your dumb ass also said Obama wouldn't be on multiple state ballots in 2012 over the birther bullshit you dumb ass birther.
just 3 or 3 days before the election your posts state that hillary had a 98.1 percent chance of winning the electoral college vs Trump.
On the other hand the night before the Romney Obama election... I said
https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/romney-looks-like-the-next-pres.240772/page-335
"as I posted on another thread... here is my summary of this thread.
polls slanted greater to the Dems than the 2008 the template are leftist frauds... and they should be chastised. This will include the crazy predictions made by nate silver.
polls with the 2008 template are leftists, fools, or blind.
even axelrod said last night they will not do as well as 2008.
poll between 2010 and 2008 are professional... perhaps a little partisan as they get closer to 2008.
polls with 2010... are perhaps a bit partisan to the Rs but smart.
but IMO
polls should slanted more to the Is and the Rs because that is what the turnout on Tuesday will teach us.
all these pollsters... underweighted the Is."
On the other hand the night before the Romney Obama election... I said
https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/romney-looks-like-the-next-pres.240772/page-335
"as I posted on another thread... here is my summary of this thread.
polls slanted greater to the Dems than the 2008 the template are leftist frauds... and they should be chastised. This will include the crazy predictions made by nate silver.
polls with the 2008 template are leftists, fools, or blind.
even axelrod said last night they will not do as well as 2008.
poll between 2010 and 2008 are professional... perhaps a little partisan as they get closer to 2008.
polls with 2010... are perhaps a bit partisan to the Rs but smart.
but IMO
polls should slanted more to the Is and the Rs because that is what the turnout on Tuesday will teach us.
all these pollsters... underweighted the Is."
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1.I posted Nate Silvers analysis along with many others.The 98 % I believe was from Nate.
2.You said Romney was going to win,which was off by 5 million votes and 126 electoral votes.
3.You said Obama wouldn't even be on multiple state ballots in 2012 over the birther bullshit you dumb ass birther.
Trump believed he was not going to win using his own polls people and analysis at that time.
The the Trump x factor is a known and understood thing now. Ron Perlman could win in 2020.
The the Trump x factor is a known and understood thing now. Ron Perlman could win in 2020.