Quote from marketsurfer:
--Lets say on NFP day the number comes in at 830am way better than expected and multiple DJIA firms are xpected to report blowout earnings--- going long randomly throughout this day would likely yield the identical or better results than TA based entries. That is what I call a reasonable random entry. Fighting the bullish signals and shorting randomly is not a reasonable action therefore not included in my opinion.
Quote from sheda:
Yea in that situation it would work (IF you waited for confirmation - which I had presumed!) but TA does not stop working in a bullmarket ~ situational awareness will keep you out of any short that is not a scalp until a reversal is in sight. Basically though, everyone is a genius in a bullmarket. Look at the moneky run of the tec bubble and how fast they were all wiped out when the mania came to an end.
If one is ok with waiting around for exceptional news and event days to trade then fine, but for every day no matter what the news trading, you need something more than luck, because luck is a case of how long will it last. I think you have been misled and never really learned to trade, which of course does not mean you cant turn a profit and get lucky, its just you have never learned this as a skill.
Quote from marketsurfer:
If you wait for confirmation, you are often too late. Even the PA junkies will admit this, i think?
My point is that you DO NOT NEED TA to be profitable. In fact, charts can mislead you very easily due to only showing the past. To be succesful intraday trading without a real edge, you need to anticipate moves, not react to them and use very strong money management--- surf
Quote from marketsurfer:
If you wait for confirmation, you are often too late. Even the PA junkies will admit this, i think?
My point is that you DO NOT NEED TA to be profitable. In fact, charts can mislead you very easily due to only showing the past. To be succesful intraday trading without a real edge, you need to anticipate moves, not react to them and use very strong money management--- surf
Quote from sheda:
No, your point is and long has been TA pollutes the site luring noobs to their certain distruction, thats why you shout it down so hard remember to save the noobs.
There are plenty of things we dont need, we choose what works for us, I need and do anticipate moves with ta, without ta I would be waiting for the strongest confirmations because nothing can lead you astray like the news..
Quote from marketsurfer:
Yes, TA is the wrong road for everyone I have ever known in the real world.
Just one man's experience.
surf

Quote from marketsurfer:
Yes, TA is the wrong road for everyone I have ever known in the real world.
Just one man's experience.
surf