Quote from james_bond_3rd:
Even though it seems cruel to take away the last straw you're clinging onto, here are some actual numbers:
Virginia:
Poll (Insider Advantage 2/8): Obama 52% Clinton 37%
Actual vote: Obama 64% Clinton 36%
Poll error: Clinton +13
West Virginia:
Poll (Suffolk University 5/11): Clinton 60% Obama 24%
Actual vote: Clinton 67% Obama 26%
Poll error: Obama +5
North Carolina:
Poll (Rasmussen 5/2): Obama 49% Clinton 40%
Actual vote: Obama 56% Clinton 42%
Poll error: Clinton +5
Indiana:
Poll (SUSA 4/28): Clinton 52% Obama 43%
Actual vote: Clinton 51% Obama 49%
Poll error: Clinton +7
It seems that there were large errors in the polls in favor of Clinton in many states. There is no obvious Bradley effect. I don't have the time to pull the numbers for all the primary states or average over all the polls. The polls I used above are all reputable ones.
Republicans can continue to believe Ann Coulter but other than spewing hatred, she never understands
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As has been stated, these are selective polls, but what really interested me was your reference to Ann Coulter. I'm pleased that you read her columns, it shows real growth, but the last article she wrote had nothing whatsoever to do with trying to prove that there is a Bradley effect. That is a figment of your imagination, as is so much else of what you write. What she showed, and you have done NOTHING to disprove it, is that national polls have historically been consistently skewed toward democrats in national elections.
