Great Depression 2 underway as of July 25, 2014

[AfterLOS]

Great Depression 2: It takes a deflationary depression to score a changing of the guard

The 2nd place contender moves into first place as the world's largest economy 6 months ahead of schedule - at exponential speed? yeah

China has had the world's largest economy for 18 out of the last 20 centuries, so its no surprise to see it back on TOP.

 

[AfterLOS]

Great Depression 2: It takes a deflationary depression to score a changing of the guard

The 2nd place contender moves into first place as the world's largest economy 6 months ahead of schedule - at exponential speed? yeah

China has had the world's largest economy for 18 out of the last 20 centuries, so its no surprise to see it back on TOP.

China's handling of the Hong Kong chaos in such a manner as to convince AfterLOS that Beijing has in its target range the world financial center as Shanghai

Bye bye LONDON, bye bye Hong Kong - say Hello to Shanghai

As the lever pulls Shanghai north it also simultaneously pushes Hong Kong south rapidly marginalizing the latter.

Yeah, I see it clearly.

 

[hedron]

The DOW will be 100k by the end of this century. If not by 2050, maybe earlier.

That's a serious prediction, BTW. If you told someone in the 70s that the DOW would be 10k one day, they would have laughed you.

 

[AfterLOS]

Great Depression 2: key component = DEFLATION


AfterLOS knew the HOUSING CRASH of 2006 was deflationary and the warning for stocks and rest of economy - then came deflationary crash of 2008

So THEY forgot all about DEFLATION from March 2009 to 2014

all except AfterLOS who has been preparing for it for years

That was in 2013

Do the search now and watch that number skyrocket

-------------------------------------------------------

Wall Street Journal (Deflation):

http://online.wsj.com/articles/risk-of-deflation-feeds-global-fears-1413419211?


http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2014...-about-european-deflation/?KEYWORDS=deflation


http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2014/10/16/5-reasons-to-worry-about-deflation/?KEYWORDS=deflation


http://blogs.wsj.com/briefly/2014/1...eflation-the-short-answer/?KEYWORDS=deflation


http://online.wsj.com/articles/cana...erilously-close-1411311974?KEYWORDS=deflation

 

[AfterLOS]

Great Depression 2: An example of what BASICS mean - then applied to GD2 = DEFLATION

example below is dated as can be seen by mention of "slide rules" - yeah, used to use 'em

Starting from First Principles and without the use of slide rules, calculators, logarithmic tables or computers, prove that

cot7½° = √2+√3+√4+√6


Nobody at ET is likely to get it - but they might find it on the Internet and copy it - but to do it from scratch, longhand, nobody will get it. Some a**hole stole it from me and put it on a Chinese bulletin board and elsewhere a few years ago - nobody got it there either.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Lesson:

When solving a particularly difficult problem and getting nowhere, take a breather, then drop down to BASIC-BASIC, start from there and derive forward.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Application to the Economy and Great Depression 2: DEFLATION


Qn² + Qq² = Tn³²



where:

Qn = Quantity of Dollar-denominated DEBT = highest in HISTORY
Qq = Quality of said debt = lowest in HISTORY
Tn = Tsunami


Every financial crash has had the same setup, except this one is the biggest yet. …

 

[istoptime]

In order for anyone to take your ramblings seriously....you must prove yourself that you can actually read a market!!!

Post started in July.....As of right now, your great master prediction of a gloom-and-doom might have been when the Dow was about 1 percent higher. 3 months and all you have is about 1% in the Dow. A few hundred points......clearly your market timing is not the best.

Your first post....BUY GOLD AT 1320. Gold is currently around 1240.
Then you added to Gold at 1290 and about 1285

Down 80 gold points, Down 50 gold points, Down 45 gold points.......massive losses.....margin calls!!!!

I think you said you would sell Gold after a low was taken out....But i think you failed in your discipline and want us to forget this. Your paper trade got stopped out for massive paper losses......LOL

So your master predictions would ruin any gold futures account.....good job.

1,082 posts and you have proven that you know about as much regarding market prediction as a kid flipping a coin.

i did the exact opposite of your master gold calls and got rich.....thanks!!!!

 

[istoptime]

LOS....This is eliteTRADER....NOT eliteMARKETRAMBLER....

you should stick to writing articles and not trying to time the market!!!!!

37 page thread and 1,000 posts later, let's check in to your market timing!!! LOL

GOLD position 1: DOWN almost 100 points
GOLD position 2: DOWN about 70 points
GOLD position 3: DOWN about points

Dow jones great depression call.......market near all-time highs!!!!

Dow up another 200+ today!!!! Dow at 16,700......

did you call for Dow 1,000? LOL

why no negative on the markets? Why fight the Fed? Why buy gold near the highs? Why so negative on life and yet the markets continue to rally and gold destroyed as asset prices are going higher, higher, higher!!!!

easiest money ever last few years.....house prices up huge, retirement up huge, money cheap.... easy, easy!!!!

 

[AfterLOS]

Its Sunday night stateside, Monday morning in Asia October 27th, 2014

For the coming week:

Wave 1 down started Sept. 19, 2014

Wave 2 up is ending or has ended.

Wave 3 down is next.

Fasten seatbelts

 

[AfterLOS]

Great Depression 2 underway




AfterLOS, the systematic hunter followed this sequence shown below:

Note: AfterLOS knew May 15th that the end was proclaimed when the Russell 2000 nicked the low. The rally came thereafter but AfterLOS knew it was the dying breath. Q.E.D.
Then came IEV and VGK signal on July 31st, the confirmation came from Germany's DAX on Aug 8. That's when AfterLOS became sure = 2 days later joins ET to make the announcement.

Index = Trend reversal indication Knew when?


Russell 2000 = May 15
IEV = July 31
VGK = July 31
XEX = Aug 7
DAX = Aug 8 ................... Knew August 8th it was over soon

Vanguard All world ex US ETF = Sept 24
Vanguard FTSE all world ex US ETF = Sept 24
NYSE International 100 = Sept. 25
Vanguard total world stock ETF = Sept 29

iShares MSCI ACWI = Oct 1
NYSE world leaders Index = Oct 2
iShares S&P global 100 (56% weighted to US) = Oct 2
NYSE composite = Oct 2
Dow Transports = Oct 10
Nasdaq Comp. = Oct 10
Dow Jones total US stock market = Oct 10
Global composite Index = Oct 10
iShares core S&P1500 = Oct 10
Vanguard total US stock market ETF VTI = Oct 10
S&P500 = Oct 13
NYSE US 100 = Oct 13

Dow Jones = October 13

My ORIGINAL Top Call on August 11 calling for JULY being the TOP is actually the correct CALL IMHO despite the Dow etc. making a higher top in September.

And best of all why this is so is because its in line with the way I operate, I clear out even before the so-called Smart Money.

But like I said earlier in this thread, when I left for the 2 weeks I was gone, I really put it all together so when I returned I had a vastly superior view to nailing tops and bottoms.

Its not a big deal but it IS THE METHOD I will be using from here on out.

------------------------------------------------


Read quote again:


Russell 2000 = May 15
IEV = July 31
VGK = July 31
XEX = Aug 7
DAX = Aug 8 ................... Knew August 8th it was over soon

 

[AfterLOS]

Since the Great Depression 2 Call is not merely a US call but a Europe and world call too, more solid evidence that July was the true worldwide TOP

NYSE International 100 Index ...... July 3rd remains the TOP

European Composite Index (proprietary) ...... June 10th remains the TOP

NYSE World Leaders Index ...... July 3rd is the Top

US Composite Index (proprietary) ...... July 4th is the TOP

Russell 2000 ....... May 15th & July 3rd


Based on all of this, July TOP is the correct call to clear out and retreat to a bear cave.