Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

Nine_Ender said:
You live in a fantasy land that has very little bearing on the real factors that move markets. In fact, it is not higher interest rates that are being blamed by intelligent analysts, it is the economic uncertainty and reality of Trump's trade initiatives. This has been true all year. Countering that is the 20% year-over-year increase in corporate earnings and the fact that on a forward P/E basis US markets aren't even expensive anymore. In Canada, markets are actually somewhat cheap on normal valuation measures. US markets can go in either direction now but likely not in a lasting big way in either direction. The big down side ideas are probably at least 15 months early even if one buys into the chance they will occur. If markets start rallying it will stun guys like you who will either lose money fighting it or be paralyzed with confusion in cash ( just like what occurred in 2016-2017 once the correction ended ).
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That being said, new Trump interview, Trade war full steam ahead!! Argh! Why can't they get along lol
 
jasonc said:
That being said, new Trump interview, Trade war full steam ahead!! Argh! Why can't they get along lol
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Trump is the permabears only real hope the next 18 months. That being said, he is capable of being a significant destructive force to markets and for now he's put a halt to the bull market.
 
jasonc said:
I don't necessarily thing apple is bad but when buffet was talking about how amazing the iPhone is and how consumers had such a useful tool in their pocket made me wonder if he knows what other technology is out there. Same argument can be made about all smartphones
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I though the same thing for many years, which is why my first smartphone was an Android phone. Bought it 6 years ago. Within 3 years, the battery swelled up to the size of a balloon and nearly exploded. It was an HTC One. The phone cost me $700 at the time.

When it blew up, 3 years ago, I was able to get an iPhone 6s for $300. Here we are 3 years later, and the phone is fine. No swelled battery, it still works, and hold it's charge fine.

Buffet is right...The tech is not the problem, it is the mindset of the people who use it.
 
Yep...just like that . Last week the bear market was coming and now the volatility charts say buy....

I hope the markets surge...more opportunities to short short short....


Cramer: Volatility charts suggest now is the time to buy into stocks
  • CNBC's Jim Cramer and volatility expert Mark Sebastian parse the charts of the market's fear gauge.
  • Sebastian finds that investors may not get a better chance to buy stocks in 2018 than right now.
  • Investors have become jaded enough that the market could finally bottom, Cramer says.

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/27/cra...ggest-now-is-the-time-to-buy-into-stocks.html


Elizabeth Gurdus | @lizzygurdus
 
Well if VTI holds above 140.80, the Ivy Port flashes a buy signal.
The Fed appears to be one and done. Barring any surprises, they're on cruise control until after the 2020 elections.
Given how unpopular Trump is, I don't think the Dems will block any spending bills next year to create a recession.
As for China, at the very least, Orange Jeb will kick the tariff can down the road; there's no way he implements those 25% tariffs given the recent market selloff. Also any damage to the economy next year will haunt him during the 2020 election.
 
Big day going into Monday with this Trump and XI meeting taking place this weekend while off market hours. Looking for at least a 2% move Monday ....
 
Well I'm in as per the Ivy Port., although I don't like how it's parked just below the 200d.
Either this thing rallies into year end or it joins Carol Anne into the light.
 
Covertibility said:
Well if VTI holds above 140.80, the Ivy Port flashes a buy signal.
The Fed appears to be one and done. Barring any surprises, they're on cruise control until after the 2020 elections.
Given how unpopular Trump is, I don't think the Dems will block any spending bills next year to create a recession.
As for China, at the very least, Orange Jeb will kick the tariff can down the road; there's no way he implements those 25% tariffs given the recent market selloff. Also any damage to the economy next year will haunt him during the 2020 election.
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Trump has better popularity than Obama at the same juncture in their presidencies.
 
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