"Golden Arches" Project

Dart_target.gif
"AVERAGED IN/UP"
Code: 
TIME   4%                       CONFI                            #of   INT
[U](MST)[/U]  [U]UNITS[/U]   [U]PAIR[/U]     [U]ACTION[/U]  [u]DENCE[/u]  [U]SPREAD[/U]    [U]PRICE[/U]   [U]TP[/U]      [U]PIPS[/U]  [U]DIFF[/U]
04:52  9,750   EUR/PLN  Short          30 PIPS   3.9140  3.9034  1     Positive
Stop:
Trade Decision Criteria met: DeMarker Breach solid red line.

Open Trades & Statistics:
Code: 
[u]# of UNITS[/u]  [u]PAIR[/u]      [u]Direction[/u]   [u]PRICE[/u]        [u]TP[/u]       [u]# of PIPS[/u]
51,413      EUR/GBP   Short       0.6671 avg.  0.6670   1
31,316      EUR/HUF   Short       252.25 avg.  251.19   91
40,578      USD/MXN   Short       11.0671 avg. 11.0670  1
40,553      EUR/JPY   Long        158.33 avg.  158.34   1
20,218      EUR/PLN   Short       3.9035 avg   3.9034   1
Code: 
Balance                        # of DAYS                         Open
Banked        Gain      ROI %   TRACKED     UPL         DD       Leverage
                       
[color=blue]$14,284.89    $848.95   +6.23   30[/color]          [color=red]-$1,434.01  -10.03%  17.9 :1[/color]
COMMENTARY: Welcome to "Golden Arches". This is a test. Please stay tuned for the trades to be illustrated in the "Golden Arch's" trading alerts thread after 02/13/07, or as soon as I get flat in these open trades.

est (Forecast/Previous):
Code:
 
Dart_target.gif
"AVERAGED IN/UP"
Code: 
TIME   4%                       CONFI                            #of   INT
[U](MST)[/U]  [U]UNITS[/U]   [U]PAIR[/U]     [U]ACTION[/U]  [u]DENCE[/u]  [U]SPREAD[/U]    [U]PRICE[/U]   [U]TP[/U]      [U]PIPS[/U]  [U]DIFF[/U]
04:52  9,750   EUR/HUF  Short          25 PIPS   254.42  252.93  1     Positive
Stop:
Trade Decision Criteria met:

Open Trades & Statistics:
Code: 
[u]# of UNITS[/u]  [u]PAIR[/u]      [u]Direction[/u]   [u]PRICE[/u]        [u]TP[/u]       [u]# of PIPS[/u]
51,413      EUR/GBP   Short       0.6671 avg.  0.6670   1
41,057      EUR/HUF   Short       252.94 avg.  252.93   1
40,578      USD/MXN   Short       11.0671 avg. 11.0670  1
40,553      EUR/JPY   Long        158.33 avg.  158.34   1
20,218      EUR/PLN   Short       3.9035 avg   3.9034   1
Code: 
Balance                        # of DAYS                         Open
Banked        Gain      ROI %   TRACKED     UPL         DD       Leverage
                       
[color=blue]$14,284.89    $848.95   +6.23   30[/color]          [color=red]-$1,379.05  -9.65 %  18.8 :1[/color]
COMMENTARY: Welcome to "Golden Arches". This is a test. Please stay tuned for the trades to be illustrated in the "Golden Arch's" trading alerts thread after 02/13/07, or as soon as I get flat in these open trades.

est (Forecast/Previous):
Code: 
All Day  EUR German CPI m/m (p)    0.5% -0.2%   
2:00am   EUR German Import Price Index m/m   -0.7% -0.2% -0.3%   
4:00am   CHF Consumption Indicator   1.951  1.896   
4:00am   EUR M3 Money Supply y/y   9.8% 9.7% 9.7%   
4:00am   EUR German Retail PMI   45.0  43.9   
4:30am   GBP BBA Mortgage Approvals m/m   37.8K 40.0K 45.5K   
8:30am   USD Durable Goods Orders m/m    -2.4% 2.9%   
8:30am   USD Core Durable Goods Orders m/m    -0.2% 2.7%   
10:00am  USD Consumer Confidence    109.0 110.3   
10:00am  USD Existing Home Sales    6.25M 6.22M   
10:00am  USD Richmond Fed Index     -11   
4:45pm   NZD Building Consents m/m     -4.9%   
6:30pm   JPY Manufacturing PMI     53.4   
6:50pm   JPY Industrial Production m/m (p)    -1.8% 0.9%   
6:50pm   JPY Retail Sales y/y    0.2% -0.2%   
6:50pm   JPY Large Retailers' Sales y/y    -1.0% -2.4%   
7:30pm   AUD Construction Work Done q/q    1.5% -2.1%
 
Dart_target.gif
"EXITED FOR A 1 PIP PROFIT"
Code: 
TIME   4%                       CONFI                            #of   INT
[U](MST)[/U]  [U]UNITS[/U]   [U]PAIR[/U]     [U]ACTION[/U]  [u]DENCE[/u]  [U]SPREAD[/U]    [U]PRICE[/U]   [U]TP[/U]      [U]PIPS[/U]  [U]DIFF[/U]
08:45  20,218  EUR/PLN  Short          25 PIPS   3.9035  3.9034  1     Positive
Stop:
Trade Decision Criteria met:

Open Trades & Statistics:
Code: 
[u]# of UNITS[/u]  [u]PAIR[/u]      [u]Direction[/u]   [u]PRICE[/u]        [u]TP[/u]       [u]# of PIPS[/u]
51,413      EUR/GBP   Short       0.6671 avg.  0.6670   1
41,057      EUR/HUF   Short       252.94 avg.  252.93   1
40,578      USD/MXN   Short       11.0671 avg. 11.0670  1
40,553      EUR/JPY   Long        158.33 avg.  158.34   1
Code: 
Balance                        # of DAYS                         Open
Banked        Gain      ROI %   TRACKED     UPL         DD       Leverage
                       
[color=blue]$14,294.83    $849.60   +6.20   30[/color]          [color=red]-$2,105.04 -14.73 %  17.8 :1[/color]
COMMENTARY: Welcome to "Golden Arches". This is a test. Please stay tuned for the trades to be illustrated in the "Golden Arch's" trading alerts thread after 02/13/07, or as soon as I get flat in these open trades.

est (Forecast/Previous):
Code: 
All Day  EUR German CPI m/m (p)    0.5% -0.2%   
4:45pm   NZD Building Consents m/m     -4.9%   
6:30pm   JPY Manufacturing PMI     53.4   
6:50pm   JPY Industrial Production m/m (p)    -1.8% 0.9%   
6:50pm   JPY Retail Sales y/y    0.2% -0.2%   
6:50pm   JPY Large Retailers' Sales y/y    -1.0% -2.4%   
7:30pm   AUD Construction Work Done q/q    1.5% -2.1%
 
Dart_target.gif
"AVERAGED IN/UP"
Code: 
TIME   4%                       CONFI                            #of   INT
[U](MST)[/U]  [U]UNITS[/U]   [U]PAIR[/U]     [U]ACTION[/U]  [u]DENCE[/u]  [U]SPREAD[/U]    [U]PRICE[/U]   [U]TP[/U]      [U]PIPS[/U]  [U]DIFF[/U]
12:41  8,792   EUR/HUF  Short          100 PIPS  256.73  253.59  1     Positive
Stop:
Trade Decision Criteria met:

Open Trades & Statistics:
Code: 
[u]# of UNITS[/u]  [u]PAIR[/u]      [u]Direction[/u]   [u]PRICE[/u]        [u]TP[/u]       [u]# of PIPS[/u]
51,413      EUR/GBP   Short       0.6671 avg.  0.6670   1
49,849      EUR/HUF   Short       253.60 avg.  253.59   1
40,578      USD/MXN   Short       11.0671 avg. 11.0670  1
40,553      EUR/JPY   Long        158.33 avg.  158.34   1
Code: 
Balance                        # of DAYS                         Open
Banked        Gain      ROI %   TRACKED     UPL         DD       Leverage
                       
[color=blue]$14,294.83    $849.60   +6.20   30[/color]          [color=red]-$2,672.39  -18.69%  19.7 :1[/color]
COMMENTARY: Welcome to "Golden Arches". This is a test. Please stay tuned for the trades to be illustrated in the "Golden Arch's" trading alerts thread after 02/13/07, or as soon as I get flat in these open trades.

est (Forecast/Previous):
Code: 
All Day  EUR German CPI m/m (p)    0.5% -0.2%   
4:45pm   NZD Building Consents m/m     -4.9%   
6:30pm   JPY Manufacturing PMI     53.4   
6:50pm   JPY Industrial Production m/m (p)    -1.8% 0.9%   
6:50pm   JPY Retail Sales y/y    0.2% -0.2%   
6:50pm   JPY Large Retailers' Sales y/y    -1.0% -2.4%   
7:30pm   AUD Construction Work Done q/q    1.5% -2.1%
 
I have not demonstrated this...but may I remind those of you reading, that this is the general rule, taken straight from the introduction thread..Some of this stuff is a "work-in-progress" and the trend identification method that the arch's provide is valuable.



This is a 24hr. method. It generally, does not trade the beginning of each month, until the first Friday has passed. This is when many news reports are new & the NFP comes out. The volatility leading up to and during the National Farm Payroll report (NFP) can be surprising & the method can use more leverage, when abstaining from trading, during that time. I find that I can bank more money trading the 3 wks. with higher leverage, than trading all mo. with lower leverage.

and this....

This method will hold trades 2-28 days. It will interpret a direction, using a med-term daily trend indicator (showing a direction that can last as long as 1 yr). This method defines direction & then works its way down to entry.

look..I have never claimed to be a great trader. I do not follow my rules which are signs of my weaknesses. I do not take losses when the daily arch tells me NO....I believe in them too much AS LONG AS I HAVE ENTERED THEM EARLY ENOUGH.
 
ES, Du bist ein grosser Schweinefettkopf, today we have the Sesspoole at 7:00, cad gdp at 8:30, sentiment at 10:00, and finally the "T'arhepiti T'ipijchukua" will give us his rendition of "cry me a river" at 11:00. Oh by the way, figure out a stop. Next Fri NPF. Oh just to remind you that you need a hard technical stop for your arch.

The Ever Multiligual And nagging VIPER
 
I cannot figure out a stop because my entry does not have enough precision.

I am considering to take a break...to gain perspective.

By the way I got out of the EUR/HUF...but added more EUR/JPY...

- 3k in unrealized DD... plus 1k in profits... ....1 month of trading `started with 14k of equity
 
TV and all..

I am thinking of trading the innerbands with blue line entries and the outer bands (+38.2 and -38.2) of the inner band would be the stops and targets..I would take the statistics with 80% or better with the Virgins...timeframe would not matter....trade size would be 100 dollar trades to begin with...

What do you folks think...want to try with me?

Definetly "adding to a trade" and "no stops" is not what I want to trade...it does not fit me like a good shoe...Else the trade is right or its wrong...move on and trade the edge....I believe in the Arch's and there should be a better than 50% winrate which is what many of you like...the profit factor is unknown as this is highly discretionary...

I would start a new thread and call it the Arch Experiment...

ES

P.S. I am imagining a timeframe profile to evaluate each trade with, that lists 15, 30, 60, 4 hr & Daily periodicities with their innerband statistics and current arch direction. I would search for blue line entries with the best agreement within the arches and high statistics...

P.P.S. the trade size will be self adjusting as the initial target differs with the ATR ...the arches figure this out...no ATR or DeMarker Indicator is needed. The Initial target could be 100 bucks...per 10K of equity, but it would adjust as the arch clicks forward.... The stop or the target would take the trade out...
 
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