Global Macro Trading Journal

Daal said:
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Interesting
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I hate Tom Lee!
I hate Tom Lee!
I hate Tom Lee!
That being said he makes a good point.

Virus epicenter trades are about to take off, Fundstrat's Tom Lee predicts
https://www.cnbc.com/video/2020/07/...are|com.apple.UIKit.activity.CopyToPasteboard
 
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So, about that Ackman $4B SPAC. I dont like it, Ackman doesnt have a good track record (or a track record at all) investing in tech companies. Or unicorns or anything like that. He might say Starbucks is a tech company or whatever, but I dont buy it. It feels like his ego is starting to get to him again. He had a huge 2019 and a great 2020 so he is on top of the world. Thats the time to be careful, but what is he doing, raising more money, doing interviews, he even talked about herbalife in a podcast a few months ago. After stating he would never talk about it again and he would be low profile with regards to media exposure. I wouldnt buy his SPAC, I would wait for a PSH crash again and then buy that instead
 
Gold, Chinese stocks and bitcoin have been performing pretty well lately. What started as a shitty year might end up as being pretty decent, investing wise
 
US Dollar Index bellow 95. I'm going to start to diversify futher outside US dollars. My first currency of choice are Australian Dollars. I like the fiscal situation there. Its a lot better than many of the other alternatives (Euro, Japan, etc)
 
IB is shutting down my account

"Urgent Matter Regarding Your Account
Dear Client,

Due to changes in our requirements for organizational accounts from your jurisdiction, we've determined that we are no longer a good fit for your business and will be terminating services for your account.

We therefore request that you close or transfer all position and withdraw funds by no later than September 1, 2020. To make this closing process more manageable, your account will be restricted to closing transactions effective August 15, 2020.


If your intent is to transfer positions to a new broker rather than closing them in your IBKR account, please provide contact information for that broker and we will coordinate with their back office to make this transition as seamless as possible.

Please contact our Professional Services should you require assistance with closing your account.

Regards,
Interactive Brokers Professional Services"

I use Belize for my holding company. I'm considering opening another entity in another country (low tax jurisdiction) but I'm afraid this could happen again and I will have just wasted time and money. I'm thinking of moving to TradeStation as they are similar except in the access to international markets. Anyone have any suggestion?
 
I have noticed IB cracking down over the last few weeks. This is not just you.

You may wish to consider residency in a different location personal or org wise, some locations are better than others.

I can suggest that a premier location think Hong Kong/Singapore/Swiss etc will be received better by IB or otherwise.
 
tsznecki said:
I have noticed IB cracking down over the last few weeks. This is not just you.

You may wish to consider residency in a different location personal or org wise, some locations are better than others.

I can suggest that a premier location think Hong Kong/Singapore/Swiss etc will be received better by IB or otherwise.
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I'm considering HK and Singapore but they will come with their headaches as well, such as
-accounting costs
-audit costs
-the chance that they will start to charge tax on offshore profits in the future

From a look at some websites it seems that the annual cost of accounting+audit of a trading business will run around $3,000-$8,000, lets call it 5 grand. Plus the annual renewal tax and resident agent maybe a fee for a local director. It seems that it will cost $7,000 a year or so and they can screw me at any time by imposing a tax on foreign profits. So I'm not too excited about this option
I mentioned the BVI and IB seems to be fine with them (for now). I also can be screwed at any time if the BVI goes into the USA bank blacklist (which I have no idea how they arrive at since its not correlating with the FATF or the EU lists) but at least it will cost me $1,000 a year to maintain and the chance of a tax is almost 0%
 
One of the best and recent advice I was given by a very well informed and large player on internationalization was this: governments across the world are closing down on loopholes and grey areas. One can get away with it in the short term because not all jurisdictions are onboard and on differing terms, but the clear trend is that way.

The long term solution is you will be need to be based out of a low tax jurisdiction physically, or pay up for your current locale to be completely onside with regulations. Good luck.
 
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