Global Macro Trading Journal

And of course, they will never get sold at a loss. I will ride them down 99.99% but still keep them. Even if they stop being quoted and are delisted, I will still keep the keys, etc. There is just too much about this whole thing that we don't understand, one day one of these might just turn out to be a lot more valuable than people think now
 
My max risk budget is 1% in that strategy, as I mentioned, I will be adding more as I find them. Some of them are quite illiquid so its tough to get in without paying a big spread. I also have some fraud filters to make sure I don't get bagged for no reason. But overall, I like this strategy on top of my already existing strategy (long charts that I like)
 
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ICOs per month
 
Today I deployed an Alt Coin investing strategy I came up with. I longed more than 40 coins in small amounts (putting in 0.5% of my networth total) and I plan to hold them for years, wont even be checking their quotes much. I cant share the list or my criteria because that is proprietary. The idea is that everybody doesn't understand this blockchain technology thing completely, there will be a lot of surprises, all it takes for one of these coins to be the next big thing and the entire project will have paid for itself.

If you invested $300 in BTC early on, you would now be a millionarie . I dont expect these results but I'm sure I can catch some ten baggers, maybe a fifty or a hundreded bagger. To me this makes a lot more sense as a convexity strategy than being long BTC at $17K and hoping for $100K while SNL has kids talking about 'putting all of their money on bitcoin'. Frankly, it just seems ridiculous to be long BTC vs owning the alt coins (also, Bitcoin cash just seems a lot better than BTC, but thats for another post). They have underperformed a lot, thats where the value is. LTC might have lit the fire on the non-BTC space, there is a lot of reversal of that BTC outperformance going on right now. My strategy has the long-term convexity exposure plus this short-term timing advantage after the LTC triple

Bitcoincash doing quite well in the last 3 hours or so. Ignoring the November 12 spike, it's at a new high.
 
Bitcoincash doing quite well in the last 3 hours or so. Ignoring the November 12 spike, it's at a new high.
I think it goes to $3k easily, prob higher. BTC is shit for transfers, BCH is way better
 

If you know what you are doing and have timing skills, it was a lot easier to short bitcoin this year than it was the S&P500. Bitcoin dropped from $3k to $1,700, then from $5k to $3k, $8k to $5.5k, $11.4k to $9k, etc. There were setups and opportunities on the short side, but you cant be a moron and continue to hold a loss (which a lot of the the hedge fund guys do). But the S&P500 just anihilated shorts this year, there was simply virtually ZERO opportunity

I learned my shorting and timing skills (which are still under development but are better than most of the hedge fund guys) from working in the trenches and shorting micro and small cap stocks that go completely nuts and form mini-bubbles. If you are early in these, you are dead (just look at LFIN, IPOed at $5 and run to $120 in like 3 days), you got to pick your spots well and timing is everything. The good thing is there are many of these a year, so I get a lot of practice, I probably got involved in more than 80 in one way or another (LFIN there was no borrow, so I missed it, but I did consider a small short at $100)

The long-term fund guys face this type of stuff MAYBE once a year, so they take a lot longer to learn. I really think that daytrading/swing trading is a great tool for people to sharpen their trading skills and improve their long-term game. Its like when the online poker kids took over the poker world and left the old 'legends' in the dust. They got so much more practice playing online that they learned in 1-2 yearss what the legends needed decades to learn.
 
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BCH $3.4K this morning from $1.5k like a week or so ago. This is why it is worth to take the risk that this market will crash 50%+. When you can double or triple your money in 1 week, a -50% move is nothing. This market is completely different from stocks or other traditional markets and because of that, it requires a different form of thinking
 
BTC struggling while non-BTC coins boom one by one. As expected. At this point I took out significant parts of profits in the non-BTCs that I have that have run (XRP, BCH, ETH, etc) and kept a small core position in them while I wait to decide what to do next
 
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