Global Macro Trading Journal

As far as FB goes I did a long a few months back when the stock was getting pounded and destroyed in the media, but there was a pretty darn obvious uptrend and the stock stopped selling off on bad news.

This time it havent happened yet. I'm waiting for a low risk setup like that again. Key to these momentum plays is use trailing stops and not fight the momentum
 
I have FB on my watch list also. Since there are so many underwater longs, I think this could end with a high volume capitulation bottom. So, I'd look to get long when there is a nasty down week from new lows, ending with 1-3 days of monster selling on huge volume and large daily % losses.

FB is a quasi-monopoly growth stock with high returns on capital, so once the low is in, it could quite easily begin a multi-year bull market. $50 or even $100 is quite feasible as a long-term price target over several years. So if the lows occur at say $15 or $10, that is a very attractive potential setup.
 
FB looks like is putting a bottom based on praetorian old 'great new pattern'. I started to scale in here after $20 breakout
 
Quote from Ghost of Cutten:

I have FB on my watch list also. Since there are so many underwater longs, I think this could end with a high volume capitulation bottom. So, I'd look to get long when there is a nasty down week from new lows, ending with 1-3 days of monster selling on huge volume and large daily % losses.

FB is a quasi-monopoly growth stock with high returns on capital, so once the low is in, it could quite easily begin a multi-year bull market. $50 or even $100 is quite feasible as a long-term price target over several years. So if the lows occur at say $15 or $10, that is a very attractive potential setup.
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I don't know, the last 2 days of last week had the highest volume since the IPO and the day after the IPO. There could be a super bottom like that but I'd suspect some kind of news catalyst would be needed. If the stock is not strong tomorrow I will probably get out though
 
I should point out that the difference between JCP and FB for my own trading is that I believe JCP has good fundamentals for the long-run, could be a multi bagger whereas with FB, I don't have much confidence what its going to happen with their business. Just trying to play a contrarian bounce there, I MIGHT hold for the long-term as a speculation that the hype will come back at some point but I'm not sure
 
Now Thiel is selling almost all of his FB shares (no doubt to prop up Clarium:p ). FB isn't reacting to the news.

I'm stepping back into the stock pre-market at $19.90. I still believe this puppy is headed lower long-term, but like it for a pop here.
 
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