Global Macro Trading Journal

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-...xen-presses-harper-amid-investor-concern.html

"The Nexen takeover needs approval from regulators in Canada, and the U.S., where the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States examines whether foreign purchases of U.S. assets raise security risks. Senator Charles Schumer of New York has already asked Timothy Geithner, chairman of CFIUS, to block the deal until China gives U.S. companies more access to its market."

If these facts are right the NXY short is looking really good. No idea why the stock rallied yesterday
 
The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States is chaired by Tim Geithner

If he has to announce something before the election, odds favor him saying no to the deal
 
See what happens when you go play golf in the afternoon? Missed my chance to buy Zillow -12% AH last night. It's already bounced $1.50. I've got a feeling it will retest the lows, so will place a buy order at $37.75.

The earnings report was just fine, but a $150M shelf offering is spooking folks. The top guys at the company aren't selling a share.
 
JCP doing a Benjamin Button after the ugliest earnings report I've ever seen.

"At first blush, the JCP print is not very pretty. At second blush, the JCP print might be even worse than the first blush," Deutsche Bank.

Who's buying the dip? :p
 
The big banks' woes are other's gains. The banks are being forced to unload their mortgage servicing assets (at the bottom) in order to raise capital and please nanny-state regulators. This is a windfall for the specialty servicers that acquire them.

Just saw a good list of them here:

http://seekingalpha.com/currents/post/480781

I own one of the companies in this group and plan to own more.
 
Buying GM this morning.

Missed my chance to buy NSM, +7% after reporting earnings. These guys are killing it despite rent-seeker Buffett fraudulently using the court system to bail out his own crap bond investment in ResCap (and raising the price for NSM to buy ResCap's servicing portfolio).
 
Markets are doing lots of nothing. Over the past weeks I switched my short EWH to VGK(Europe ETF), still short EUR, long TLT(Had to cut back during the decline), cut BRKB(Mainly due other things unrelated to the stock, I was generating margin to take a large M&A position on CVI), long Gold.

There has been a lot of stability lately but I'm betting over the next months there will be another fear wave with a VIX spike. I'm considering increasing the VGK short because europe will probably lead the way
 
Buying FB for a trade at $20.05.

Lockup expiration is today. Maybe the most widely reported and followed lockup in history. I believe the market may have frontrun this (short interest has soared) and shares are hitting a temporary bottom at the open.
 
FB looks to be opening right about where I bought yesterday. I would have bet anything (and actually did) that the stock would quickly reverse yesterday's early drubbing. Was I just early and should hold on with the reversal to come today or next week? Or is the selling pressure on this POS so overwhelming that even universal knowledge that the stock is a one-way bet (down) isn't enough to set a bottom?

Not waiting to find out. Covered at $20.03.

:cool:
 
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