Mass mortgage refi news is out. That's one of 3 bullets loaded in chamber against NLY (the other 2 left are The Twist and the SEC taking away MReits ability to use leverage). I figure its worth beginning to step back into the stock that accounted for a nice portion of my wealth growth over the last decade plus. Just bought a bit at $15.90.
Global Macro Trading Journal
- Thread starter Daal
- Start date
October is a 2% gain away from being one of the top 5 months for the DJIA in 50 years.
http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/archives/2011/10/best-months-for-the-dow-of-the-last-50-years.html
http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/archives/2011/10/best-months-for-the-dow-of-the-last-50-years.html
I'm growing more convinced that Groupon and other coupon sites are becoming a scams
http://www.economist.com/node/21533425
In the beginning it was fine, plenty of good companies were using it, but these days the complaints have only been increasing. I see it all the time, 'cheap' deals that include plenty of hidden details that you don't know about that make it not so cheap. A trend right now in brazil are 'cheap' tablets or smartphones, they are actually stored in China and being sold by coupon sites. The price is totally misleading since is very likely the product will be hammered with import taxes and should cost 100% more
Buyer beware
http://www.economist.com/node/21533425
In the beginning it was fine, plenty of good companies were using it, but these days the complaints have only been increasing. I see it all the time, 'cheap' deals that include plenty of hidden details that you don't know about that make it not so cheap. A trend right now in brazil are 'cheap' tablets or smartphones, they are actually stored in China and being sold by coupon sites. The price is totally misleading since is very likely the product will be hammered with import taxes and should cost 100% more
Buyer beware
Its amazing how bearish people are.
I am starting to think that if this EU Summit creates some time off for Europe (before the EUR collapse) we might experience a year end rally.
1. The last US numbers have been better than expected
2. US Companies are reporting stronger than expected earnings (>70% of companies showed positive surprises in earnings)
3. The fear of a China hard landing somehow faded during the last 2weeks.
4. There is a lot of HF down on the year with cash on the sideline that cant afford to be out of a bullish mrkt
5. There is a good seasonality for the year end rally (as you can see here http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2011/10/a-tale-of-2-seasonal-investors/
Lets see if EU can take the rabbit out of the hat for sometime and we will see a Risk On mood.
I am starting to think that if this EU Summit creates some time off for Europe (before the EUR collapse) we might experience a year end rally.
1. The last US numbers have been better than expected
2. US Companies are reporting stronger than expected earnings (>70% of companies showed positive surprises in earnings)
3. The fear of a China hard landing somehow faded during the last 2weeks.
4. There is a lot of HF down on the year with cash on the sideline that cant afford to be out of a bullish mrkt
5. There is a good seasonality for the year end rally (as you can see here http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2011/10/a-tale-of-2-seasonal-investors/
Lets see if EU can take the rabbit out of the hat for sometime and we will see a Risk On mood.
As I understand the theory is that the miners are a leveraged play on gold, why not just buy gold directly and use leverage?This makes me reluctant to go there, unless there is some kind of large historical discrepancy that is unjustified. What is the story behind the gold miners going down?
Gold dropped 20% and Silver 40% from their all time highs so it made sense for the miners to retrace I guess, some a bit more then others.
In general they have recovered nicely as well, also some more then others.
On your assumption that they are a leveraged play on gold you are largely correct with a bit of difference here and there but in general you are basically right.
Why I am in gold en Silver stocks is pretty much cause I believe during the more mature stages of the gold bull market they will go hyperbolic a la Nasdaq 90's.
Also for me they are in foreign currency and a liquidity play,...
Too much leverage on gold solely feels more dangerous to me but I am sure many would disagree and find the obscurity of some of these miners far more riskier. To each his own I guess.
..this may or may not be around the corner...http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/abc-blogs/merrill-lynch-warns-another-u-debt-downgrade-124054452.html