it is important that the addresses are revealed. If I was a big investor of GBTC, like Ark, I would demand that these addresses be published
This is the part I have a problem with. How can an investor demand anything? If you don't like the rules of the game you're playing, don't play the game. I realize that GBTC at one point was perhaps the only way for an institution to get exposure to bitcoin because they couldn't hold it outright, and maybe this is still the case as well, but today, based on everything we see blowing up, demanding to see reserves is kind of silly since that doesn't really protect you from anything if the keys to those coins are gone or in someone else's hands.
If you invested in a fund, its on you. If they don't want to publish their reserves, its your choice to either take them at their word of sell your position. But at this stage of the game, I don't see how I would sleep any better at night if I didn't have keys to those coins that I think I own through GBTC.
GBTC fund closing down and liquidating its btc holdings is a non-zero % probability
If that was to happen as a massive sell order, it could obliterate every order book out there and bring btc price to less than $1,000
It could be more orderly. If the fund was to wind down, you could simply let the investors withdraw their investment through the transfer of their own share of bitcoins to their address. Maybe not every investor wants bitcoins back and would prefer the cash, but I think an orderly winddown in possible.
The idea of a $1000 bitcoin I can't even imagine. Just on this board alone we could probably scoop up at least 10k bitcoins. Now imagine every message board out there thinking this exact same thing. Heck, I bet there are lots of people salivating to buy in at 10k, never mind 1k.
With 300 million people in the US alone, even if just 10% wanted 1 bitcoin, hence 30 million, there wouldn't be enough bitcoin to even go around. I don't know where the bottom is, but I just don't see $1k as being in any way a reasonable number for it to drop down to. Even the most cynical posters and haters of bitcoin all say now that they are waiting to load up.
Drake last night shared his fancy Ledger device with all his fans. Can you imagine how much of an influence this is? There is gonna be way too much buying interest out there right now for bitcoins. I bet they are all waiting for a catalyst, for lower prices, but when everyone is waiting for lower prices, how low can they really go?