General Election 2020

As U.S. becomes more diverse and college-educated, Trump's core demographic is steadily declining. In 2020, noncollege whites are on track to make up about 43% of the nation's adult citizens, down from 46% in 2016.

Meanwhile, whites with four-year degrees, who are trending blue and increasingly behave like a different ethnic group from noncollege whites, will make up 25% of adult citizens, up from 24% in 2016. And Black Americans, Latinos, Asians and other nonwhites, historically Democrats' most reliable supporters, will make up 32%, up from 30% four years ago.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/20...16-could-be-enough-defeat-trump-it-s-n1240724
 
exGOPer said:
How do polls replace elections?
More...

I was being facetious. Polls, if done accurately and one understands the particular methodology behind it, can provide an relatively accurate reading of public opinion for a specific point of time.

Some people consider polls prologue, which seems silly to me.
 
The problem with polls is they're down to like a 5% response rate. They ask respondents if they're Democrat/Independent/Republican and try to match it up with the general electorate, but nobody really knows all of the biases of those actually answering polls.
 
A new Quinnipiac poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump nationally among likely voters, 52% to 42%.

These numbers are unchanged from a poll three weeks ago.

Said pollster Tim Malloy: “Voters think Biden is smarter, more honest, more level headed, and cares more about Americans than the president. And that, in part, translates into a ten-point lead.”

A new Marquette Law poll finds Biden ahead nationally, 50% to 40%.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top