Goldman leans to growth picks in either recession scenario
Apr. 03, 2023 5:21 AM ET|
SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (SPY)|
IWV,
LVS,
AMD,
NVDA,
OLED,
MRVL,
TTWO,
LLY,
MPWR,
POWI,
SLAB,
TER,
CSGP,
FSLR,
CHDN,
RGEN,
DXCM,
VICR,
ERII,
FTNT,
AL,
ENPH,
NOW,
PANW,
WDAY,
MARA,
VEEV,
CRWD,
PCTY,
FIVN,
PAYC,
QRVO,
ABNB,
PLTR,
ZS,
EAF,
PLL,
LTHM,
SWAV,
SP500,
DT,
DDOG,
SITM,
MP,
HRMY,
U,
CVT,
SHLS,
DOCN,
DOCS,
CTKB,
DH,
AMLX,
CRDO...|By:
Kim Khan, SA News Editor|
7 Comments
Michael M. Santiago
Goldman Sachs is sticking with its S&P 500 (
SP500) (NYSEARCA:
SPY) target of little change by year end as valuations and earnings face headwinds near term, its equity team said.
"Our Long Duration basket has outperformed the Short Duration basket by 6 pp YTD (2% vs. 8%)," strategist David Kostin wrote in a note. "This has created an asymmetry that supports our recommendation ... to own high-margin growth stocks vs. low-margin growth stocks."
"If the economy avoids recession, real yields are likely to rise and pose a headwind to low-margin growth stocks," Kostin said. "If the economy enters recession investors will likely rotate toward stocks with 'quality' attributes, including high profit margins."
Goldman selected high-margin stocks growth stocks from the Russell 3000 (
IWV) excluding Biotech, Financials, Real Estate and Energy with market cap above $1B and revenue of $100M.
The stocks by sector are:
Communications Services
- Take-Two (TTWO), second twelve months sales growth consensus 25%, net margin consensus 17%
Consumer Discretionary
- Las Vegas Sands (LVS), 24%, 21%
- Churchill Downs (CHDN), 15%, 19%
- Airbnb (ABNB), 15%, 24%
Healthcare
- Amylyx (AMLX), 64%, 37%
- Harmony Biosciences (HRMY), 25%, 32%
- Cytek Biosciences (CTKB), 23%, 15%
- Definitive Healthcare (DH), 19%, 16%
- Eli Lilly (LLY), 18%, 30%
- Shockwave Medical (SWAV), 23%, 21%
- Veeva Systems (VEEV), 18%, 31%
- Doximity (DOCS), 20%, 26%
- Repligen (RGEN), 20%, 21%
- DexCom (DXCM), 19%, 15%
Industrials
- GrafTech (EAF), 28%, 19%
- Vicor (VICR), 21%, 18%
- Shoals Technologies (SHLS), 40%, 22%
- Energy Recovery (ERII), 37%, 19%
- Air Lease (AL), 16%, 23%
- CoStar Group (CSGP), 17%, 16%
Materials
- Piedmont Lithium (PLL), 133%, 72%
- Livent (LTHM), 22%, 37%
- MP Materials (MP), 44%, 48%
Info Tech
- Marathon Digital (MARA), 25%, 17%
- Qorvo (QRVO), 18%, 19%
- Credo Technology (CRDO), 56%, 18%
- Unity Software (U), 18%, 16%
- First Solar (FSLR), 29%, 31%
- Silicon Labs (SLAB), 17% 16%
- Five9 (FIVN), 19%, 16%
- Cvent Holding (CVT), 18%, 19%
- Teradyne (TER), 20%, 24%
- DigitalOcean (DOCN), 20%, 28%
- Palantir (PLTR), 19%, 22%
- AMD (AMD), 15%, 24%
- Workday (WDAY), 18%, 20%
- Marvell (MRVL), 17%, 30%
- Zscaler (ZS), 27%, 17%
- Power Integrations (POWI), 19%, 21%
- Palo Alto Networks (PANW), 20%, 19%
- Paylocity Holding (PCTY), 20%, 22%
- Enphase Energy (ENPH), 26%, 19%
- Datadog (DDOG), 30%, 20%
- Dynatrace (DT), 20%, 22%
- CrowdStrike (CRWD), 28%, 19%
- Fortinet (FTNT), 19%, 21%
- ServiceNow (NOW), 22%, 22%
- Paycom Software (PAYC), 21%, 26%
- SiTime (SITM), 32%, 25%
- Universal Display (OLED), 19%, 34%
- Monolithic Power (MPWR), 16%, 34%
- Nvidia (NVDA), 24%, 31%
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