Here are some fun facts about Polaris-
PII's balance sheet is a fortress and is expected to get steadily safer over time.
PII has a very safe 2.5% yielding dividend, which has been raised every year for 27 consecutive years
However--
Polaris (NYSE:
PII) presents a balanced risk/reward opportunity to investors at present, according to Jefferies.
Jefferies analyst Anna Glaessgen wrote in an initiation note on Tuesday that while Polaris (
PII) can be consideredas a “safe harbor” in powersports, worsening consumer sentiment, persistent supply chain problems, and decelerating spending diminish the security of the stock. Overall, this leaves the stock likely range-bound, in her view.
“We believe Polaris deserves credit for shifting focus back toward its leadership in global powersports, seen not only in word but also in decisive action. In our view, this strategic refinement will ultimately benefit fundamentals as well as valuation, as the market rewards streamlined, clean stories,” Glaessgen explained. “However, these positives are balanced, in our view, by a challenging macro backdrop and signals of consumer health degradation.”
She added that while the pandemic caused outdoor recreation demand to surge, benefiting Polaris (
PII), an increase in available activities after reopening stands to soften this growth trend.
She set a $105 price target for shares and initiated coverage on the stock at a “Neutral” rating.
I counter that by pointing towards--
In its 1Q22
earningscall, the world "supply" was mentioned 55 times.
Summing up our first quarter performance by segment, it is clear that supply chain disruptions were the main driver for our sales, share, and earnings performance this quarter.
These constraints are getting resolved in my view...
and Next year, Polaris is expected to do $665 million in free cash flow. This translates to 10.3% of the company's $6.4 billion market cap. That's very high and uncommon as in these times, it's mainly energy companies that report double-digit free cash flow yields.
SUMMATION-- Van you were right the first time and should of been rewarded.
Polaris may indeed be range bound due to world conditions but when it does bust out it will be to the upside.