Folks who look at AMTX love to bash it. I have many bears I am about to roll.
What these folks don't understand is an entire new part pf the business...
Monetization of Renewable, Low Carbon Fuel Standard Credits
A significant part of Aemetis' revenue stream comes from the renewable fuel standard credits that are associated with their produced fuels. At the federal level, renewable fuel accounting involves
Renewable Identification Numbers(RIN). A RIN is a 38-character number assigned to each physical gallon of renewable fuel produced. To comply with the federal law, fuel refiners and blenders must report RINs to show that a fraction (specified by law) of their sold fuel originates from renewable resources. A market price emerges for RINs and is
monitored by the EPA. California has a similar mechanism to monitor renewable fuels, the
Low Carbon Fuel Standard credit system.California's renewable fuel credits are worth even more than RINs.
Thus, Aemetis' business is to generate both RINs and LCFS credits by removing carbon from the atmosphere as they produce their renewable fuels. They then sell those fuels and credits to other companies.
Take a moment,.,.. not a bad business plan.
This can be lucrative: while a single unit of thermal energy, e.g. 1 MMbtu (one million British Thermal Units), may be worth only a few dollars,
one that carries RINs and LCFS credits can exceed a hundred dollars.
Aemetis Projects $1B Revenue by 2025<--------------
Aemetis' CEO, Eric McAfee, gave a clear vision for his company to
Credit Suisse. Their board of directors include experienced individuals with strong track records in industry, academia, as well as the US Department of Agriculture. Aemetis' leadership projects strong growth leading up to $1B revenue by 2025. Growth in their California ethanol segment (yellow) is modest. However higher growth is projected in all other segments including their dairy renewable natural gas segment (red),
their jet/diesel biofuel segment involving the cellulosic ethanol (blue), and their biodiesel business in India (green).
Here is the other kicker the Jet fuel biz is soaring now.
so 2 changes the Jet Fuel and the carbon credits,,, Not you mamy's AMTX! ,<-----
