Gallup state numbers predict huge Obama loss

Quote from denner:

I'm just responding in kind when I read the "we" comment in your initial post. The "we" suggests "fanboy" as there is no objectivity whatsoever.

As I also stated in my post, the mid-term elections were a vote AGAINST the incumbents in many of the races. That sentiment has grown since that time as suggested in the various polls.

I agree about one thing: your analysis is "pretty plain and simple".

OK, fair enough. I still think that many independents will go for Obama over Romney. That's why they call it a 'race' I guess.


c
 
Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Obama +6







http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/...-won-57-of-the-vote-there-but-now-has-an.html



Obama 53 Romney 38




Obama looks safe in New Mexico
December 16, 2011

Barack Obama is considerably less popular in New Mexico now than he was in 2008. He won 57% of the vote there, but now has an approval rating under 50% in the state at 49/46. Those represent the poorest numbers we've found for him in New Mexico all year: in February he was at 55% approval and in June it was 50%. Obama is upside down with independents at 47/52 and has a lower than normal 72% approval rating with Democrats.


The good news for Obama though is that voters in the state aren't responding positively to any of the Republican hopefuls. Current front runner Newt Gingrich has a 28/62 favorability rating and Mitt Romney's is 27/58. The most 'popular' of the Republicans, such as it is, is Ron Paul at 27/54.

Paul is also the only one of the Republicans who manages to improve on John McCain's 2008 peformance in the state. He trails by 13 points at 51-38. He's the only GOP hopeful who leads Obama with independents, at 46-38, and the 14% of Democrats he gets ties Romney for the highest level of crossover support any of the Republicans receives. Paul as the strongest of the Republican candidates with independents has become more the rule than the exception in our recent polling across the country.

Romney matches McCain's 15 point margin of defeat, trailing 53-38. Most of the undecideds are Republicans though so he would probably pull closer if he actually ended up being the nominee. Rounding out the field Gingrich trails 56-39, Michele Bachmann is down 56-36, and Rick Perry has a 56-35 deficit.














http://blogs.denverpost.com/thespot...bama-more-popular-than-gop-challengers/44384/


New Colorado poll: President Obama more popular than GOP challengers


A new statewide poll [1] released today to coincide with President Obama’s trip to Colorado [2] shows the first-term Democrat is more popular than any of his major GOP presidential challengers, particularly among unaffiliated voters [3] and Hispanics, two crucial groups.


Project New West [5]’s poll, which was conducted late last month, also shows that the Republican electorate in the state appears dissatisfied with the current field.

The poll from Project New West [6] follows its successful two-day summit in Las Vegas [7] of about 400 Western Democratic leaders and activists.

“At this point in the presidential race, President Obama [8] is running against himself,” Project New West president Jill Hanauer said today. “At the same time, the Republican field is not reaching a majority of Coloradans due to their extreme views in very centrist state where voters vote for the person not the party and the policy vision, not a political ideology.”

The pollster conducted 500 live operator telephone interviews from Sept. 19-22 among likely November 2012 voters statewide in Colorado. The margin of error was +/- 4.3%. The margin of error among only Republican voters is +/- 7.2%, according to the Project New West, which wrote this about its poll:

PNW’s poll showed that 49% of likely Colorado voters view the President in a positive light, compared with 45% who have a negative opinion of him. Comparatively, Mitt Romney [9] has a 40/38 favorable/unfavorable rating, and Rick Perry [10] is underwater with a 29/38 rating.

Importantly, the President is even more popular with unaffiliated voters, who constitute a crucial 29% of the Colorado electorate. 54 percent of unaffiliated voters have positive feelings about the president, compared with 37% who view him negatively. Romney (38/37) and Perry (24/33) have similar ratings among Unaffiliateds as they do with the broader electorate.

The President also remains popular with Hispanic voters [11], who made up roughly 12% of the Colorado electorate in 2010. 2 Obama has a 59/36 approval/disapproval rating among Colorado Hispanics, compared to 31/35 for Romney and 28/39 for Perry.

PNW’s poll also showed that Republican candidates have work to do in winning over their own voters, in addition to unaffiliateds and Hispanics.

Just 44% of likely Republican 2012 caucus voters would have caucused for one of the two front-runners — Perry and Romney — when the poll was conducted. No other candidate received more than 7% support among Republicans, with 19% undecided. Mitt Romney, the winner of nearly 6 out of 10 delegates in the 2008 Colorado Caucuses, was leading the pack with just 24%. Perry was second with 20%, followed by Newt Gingrich and Michele Bachmann [12] with 7% and Herman Cain [13] with 5% [the poll was conducted immediately before Herman Cain [13]'s recent ascendance].

The poll was conducted for Project New West by Keating Research.

You're obviously a better researcher than I am, even though my job was/is research for the last too many years. Thank you for the info.


c
 
Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Pure denial imo Epic

You might be able to make that argument if I was against Obama. I think I've stated several times that I haven't ruled out support for Obama. So I can't really be in denial.

I'm just trying to consider what conditions might play a factor. It seems to me that I'm the only one making the argument that the Mormons might have an abnormally large influence this year. So I guess I would have bragging rights if I'm right. IMO, Anyone who thinks the Mormons can't swing the vote in those states is completely ignorant of the situation. They are very politically active in both volunteering and donating cash. They have very high voter turnout too, and they are typically the type of people who aren't afraid to be vocal in support of their candidate.
 
Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Lets clear up the fact that you consider me a racist because I posted a video of an African American civil rights hero of mine.With that said .....
I like how you try to spin the facts.

You are the most race obsessed person here.
You use race to make negative points or to show other people in a negative light.. This is racist.

You have no heroes. You only use black people as a weapon to exploit and force your views on others.

Just like all Liberals, Blacks are there only to further your own cause.
 
Well said.

Quote from Mercor:

I like how you try to spin the facts.

You are the most race obsessed person here.
You use race to make negative points or to show other people in a negative light.. This is racist.

You have no heroes. You only use black people as a weapon to exploit and force your views on others.

Just like all Liberals, Blacks are there only to further your own cause.
 
Quote from Max E. Pad:

Well said.

Is mercor or navin johnson one of the many sock puppet accounts of yours?I notice they don't add much but cheer lead for you and your racist pals 377 and pspr

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=234662







You are quite a pathetic individual.You were banned as steelers baby,hello,and you admitted while posting under steelers baby that you had another banned account before the steelers baby account and now you are back posting under multiple sock puppet accounts :confused:
 
Nice sleuth work inspector clousseau, I fully admit that i was both Steelers Baby and Hello, i use a popular proxy, if you really think i am anyone else you are an idiot, but feel free to ask one of the mods about it. Its pretty comical that we have another person who was banned (Range Rover/KKK47) bitching about banned aliases, you and Gabfly's hypocrisy knows no bounds.

btw why are you trying so hard to deflect from your obvious racism you have portrayed on this site?

Quote from AK Forty Seven:

Is mercor or navin johnson one of the many sock puppet accounts of yours?I notice they don't add much but cheer lead for you and your racist pals 377 and pspr

http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=234662







You are quite a pathetic individual.You were banned as steelers baby,hello,and you admitted while posting under steelers baby that you had another banned account before the steelers baby account and now you are back posting under multiple sock puppet accounts :confused:
 
Quote from Max E. Pad:

Nice sleuth work inspector clousseau, I fully admit that i was both Steelers Baby and Hello, i use a popular proxy, if you really think i am anyone else you are an idiot, but feel free to ask one of the mods about it. Its pretty comical that we have another person who was banned (Range Rover/KKK47) bitching about banned aliases, you and Gabfly's hypocrisy knows no bounds.

btw why are you trying so hard to deflect from your obvious racism you have portrayed on this site?

So you admit to being banned twice and a mod says you match up to multiple accounts,at least we are getting somewhere


When you were posting under steelers baby you admitted that you had an account before that,since you're being so honest tonight mind telling us who that was ?



http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=188151&perpage=6&pagenumber=4

Quote from Steelers Baby:



I will make you a deal, I will gladly out myself and give up my old handle,
 
Quote from AK Forty Seven:

So you admit to being banned twice and a mod says you match up to multiple accounts,at least we are getting somewhere


When you were posting under steelers baby you admitted that you had an account before that,since you're being so honest tonight mind telling us who that was ?



http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=188151&perpage=6&pagenumber=4

Funny, as both Hello and Max are on my ignore list.
I've also got a maxpi on there that predates Hello. Maybe that's his previous one? Don't know of course if that's a banned one or not. Don't care either.
 
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