Gallup state numbers predict huge Obama loss
- Thread starter Navin Johnson
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Obama +6
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/...-won-57-of-the-vote-there-but-now-has-an.html
Obama 53 Romney 38
Obama looks safe in New Mexico
December 16, 2011
Barack Obama is considerably less popular in New Mexico now than he was in 2008. He won 57% of the vote there, but now has an approval rating under 50% in the state at 49/46. Those represent the poorest numbers we've found for him in New Mexico all year: in February he was at 55% approval and in June it was 50%. Obama is upside down with independents at 47/52 and has a lower than normal 72% approval rating with Democrats.
The good news for Obama though is that voters in the state aren't responding positively to any of the Republican hopefuls. Current front runner Newt Gingrich has a 28/62 favorability rating and Mitt Romney's is 27/58. The most 'popular' of the Republicans, such as it is, is Ron Paul at 27/54.
Paul is also the only one of the Republicans who manages to improve on John McCain's 2008 peformance in the state. He trails by 13 points at 51-38. He's the only GOP hopeful who leads Obama with independents, at 46-38, and the 14% of Democrats he gets ties Romney for the highest level of crossover support any of the Republicans receives. Paul as the strongest of the Republican candidates with independents has become more the rule than the exception in our recent polling across the country.
Romney matches McCain's 15 point margin of defeat, trailing 53-38. Most of the undecideds are Republicans though so he would probably pull closer if he actually ended up being the nominee. Rounding out the field Gingrich trails 56-39, Michele Bachmann is down 56-36, and Rick Perry has a 56-35 deficit.
http://blogs.denverpost.com/thespot...bama-more-popular-than-gop-challengers/44384/
New Colorado poll: President Obama more popular than GOP challengers
A new statewide poll [1] released today to coincide with President Obamaâs trip to Colorado [2] shows the first-term Democrat is more popular than any of his major GOP presidential challengers, particularly among unaffiliated voters [3] and Hispanics, two crucial groups.
Project New West [5]âs poll, which was conducted late last month, also shows that the Republican electorate in the state appears dissatisfied with the current field.
The poll from Project New West [6] follows its successful two-day summit in Las Vegas [7] of about 400 Western Democratic leaders and activists.
âAt this point in the presidential race, President Obama [8] is running against himself,â Project New West president Jill Hanauer said today. âAt the same time, the Republican field is not reaching a majority of Coloradans due to their extreme views in very centrist state where voters vote for the person not the party and the policy vision, not a political ideology.â
The pollster conducted 500 live operator telephone interviews from Sept. 19-22 among likely November 2012 voters statewide in Colorado. The margin of error was +/- 4.3%. The margin of error among only Republican voters is +/- 7.2%, according to the Project New West, which wrote this about its poll:
PNWâs poll showed that 49% of likely Colorado voters view the President in a positive light, compared with 45% who have a negative opinion of him. Comparatively, Mitt Romney [9] has a 40/38 favorable/unfavorable rating, and Rick Perry [10] is underwater with a 29/38 rating.
Importantly, the President is even more popular with unaffiliated voters, who constitute a crucial 29% of the Colorado electorate. 54 percent of unaffiliated voters have positive feelings about the president, compared with 37% who view him negatively. Romney (38/37) and Perry (24/33) have similar ratings among Unaffiliateds as they do with the broader electorate.
The President also remains popular with Hispanic voters [11], who made up roughly 12% of the Colorado electorate in 2010. 2 Obama has a 59/36 approval/disapproval rating among Colorado Hispanics, compared to 31/35 for Romney and 28/39 for Perry.
PNWâs poll also showed that Republican candidates have work to do in winning over their own voters, in addition to unaffiliateds and Hispanics.
Just 44% of likely Republican 2012 caucus voters would have caucused for one of the two front-runners â Perry and Romney â when the poll was conducted. No other candidate received more than 7% support among Republicans, with 19% undecided. Mitt Romney, the winner of nearly 6 out of 10 delegates in the 2008 Colorado Caucuses, was leading the pack with just 24%. Perry was second with 20%, followed by Newt Gingrich and Michele Bachmann [12] with 7% and Herman Cain [13] with 5% [the poll was conducted immediately before Herman Cain [13]'s recent ascendance].
The poll was conducted for Project New West by Keating Research.
Newly released Ohio
There is actually a real art to selling someone on something door to door, and i doubt most of the people/politicians who do it only during election season know what they are doing. You have to walk into an environment, where the people are hostile with you right off the bat (just like telemarketers) and you have about 30 seconds to win that person over(make them laught or something) so that they give you another minute of their time. I thought it was hard selling coupons door to door, so i cant imagine how hard it must be selling religion door to door.
These mormons just need to make sure they meet up with some marketers as well, the company i worked for doing door to door sales one summer in University could actually send 10 people on the road and we could cover a city of 50,000 people within 2 weeks. So you can get face time with a massive number of people going door to door, with just a small group. They just need to make sure that they dont go around in their typical "white dress shirt black tie" uniform, as they are likely to get shot at if they go into the wrong neighborhoods dressed like typical Jehovas.
These mormons just need to make sure they meet up with some marketers as well, the company i worked for doing door to door sales one summer in University could actually send 10 people on the road and we could cover a city of 50,000 people within 2 weeks. So you can get face time with a massive number of people going door to door, with just a small group. They just need to make sure that they dont go around in their typical "white dress shirt black tie" uniform, as they are likely to get shot at if they go into the wrong neighborhoods dressed like typical Jehovas.
Agree,but Obama doesn't need those states
Quote from AK Forty Seven:
Obama +6
It's been pointed out before, but until the GOP nominee is chosen, those polls are worthless. In fact, you would generally expect the incumbent to show a much larger margin this early simply due to name recognition.
But just to demonstrate my point about what the Mormon support does for Romney. During the '08 primaries the polls had Romney leading with just 34% in NV. When the results came in he actually got 51%.
Obama would be wise to abandon any hope of winning in NV, and not waste any time there.
Also, if you are going to cite polls, then you must use the most recent, not just cherry picked polls from almost 2 months ago. Your article cites NM approval ratings @ 49%, while the most recent polls posted yesterday have it @ 41% and falling fast in NM. He is down to 40% in CO and 41% in NV too.
Pure denial imo Epic
I posted the most recent HEAD TO HEAD polls I could find,not approval rating polls
Most people vote for who they feel are the lesser of 2 evils,so approval ratings polls are worthless imo unless you post approval ratings for Romney
With a 6 point lead,Hispanic support along with Romneys harsh immigration stance and his sidekick Dirty Harry,that would be very foolish of him imo